Author Bibliographies

Publications by Michael J. Puma

This citation list includes papers published while the author has been on staff at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies. It may include some publications based on research conducted prior to their having joined the institute staff.

Submitted / In Review

Kuhla, K., M. Puma, J. Schewe, P. Kubiczek, and C. Otto, 2023: International cooperation could help avert a major food crisis due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Glob. Food Secur., submitted.

Early On-Line

Griffith, D., R. Muneepeerakul, G. Guerry, A.C. Cabrero, J.C. Johnson, R. Munoz-Carpena, M. Puma, U. Lall, and M. Homayounfar, 2023: Migration and livelihood constellations: Assessing common themes in the face of environmental change in Somalia and among Agro-Pastoral peoples. Int. Migr., early on-line, doi:10.1111/imig.13122.

2023

Heino, M., P. Kinnunen, W. Anderson, D.K. Ray, M.J. Puma, O. Varis, S. Siebert, and M. Kummu, 2023: Increased probability of hot and dry weather extremes during the growing season threatens global crop yields. Sci. Rep., 13, 3583, doi:10.1038/s41598-023-29378-2.

2022

De Sherbinin, A., K. Grace, S. McDermid, K. Van Der Geest, M.J. Puma, and A. Bell, 2022: Migration theory in climate mobility research. Front. Clim., 4, 882343, doi:10.3389/fclim.2022.882343.

McDermid, S.S., E. Weng, M. Puma, B. Cook, T. Hengl, J. Sanderman, G.J.M. De Lannoy, and I. Aleinov, 2022: Soil carbon losses reduce soil moisture in global climate model simulations. Earth Interact., 26, no. 1, 195-208, doi:10.1175/EI-D-22-0003.1.

Nazarenko, L.S., N. Tausnev, G.L. Russell, D. Rind, R.L. Miller, G.A. Schmidt, S.E. Bauer, M. Kelley, R. Ruedy, A.S. Ackerman, I. Aleinov, M. Bauer, R. Bleck, V. Canuto, G. Cesana, Y. Cheng, T.L. Clune, B.I. Cook, C.A. Cruz, A.D. Del Genio, G.S. Elsaesser, G. Faluvegi, N.Y. Kiang, D. Kim, A.A. Lacis, A. Leboissetier, A.N. LeGrande, K.K. Lo, J. Marshall, E.E. Matthews, S. McDermid, K. Mezuman, L.T. Murray, V. Oinas, C. Orbe, C.P. García-Pando, J.P. Perlwitz, M.J. Puma, A. Romanou, D.T. Shindell, S. Sun, K. Tsigaridis, G. Tselioudis, E. Weng, J. Wu, and M.-S. Yao, 2022: Future climate change under SSP emission scenarios with GISS-E2.1. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 14, no. 7, e2021MS002871, doi:10.1029/2021MS002871.

Weng, E., I. Aleinov, R. Singh, M.J. Puma, S.S. McDermid, N.Y. Kiang, M.A Kelley, K. Wilcox, R. Dybzinski, C.E. Farrior, S.W. Pacala, and B.I. Cook, 2022: Modeling demographic-driven vegetation dynamics and ecosystem biogeochemical cycling in NASA GISS's Earth system model (ModelE-BiomeE v.1.0). Geosci. Model Dev., 15, no. 22, 8153-8180, doi:10.5194/gmd-15-8153-2022.

2021

Falkendal, T., C. Otto, J. Schewe, J. Jägermeyr, M. Konar, M. Kummu, B. Watkins, and M.J. Puma, 2021: Grain export restrictions during COVID-19 risk food insecurity in many low- and middle-income countries. Nat. Food, 2, no. 1, 11-14, doi:10.1038/s43016-020-00211-7.

Lehikoinen, E., P. Kinnunen, J. Piipponen, A. Heslin, M.J. Puma, and M. Kummu, 2021: Importance of trade dependencies for agricultural inputs: A case study of Finland. Environ. Res. Commun., 3, no. 6, 061003, doi:10.1088/2515-7620/ac02d0.

McDermid, S.S., B.I. Cook, M.G. De Kauwe, J. Mankin, J.E. Smerdon, A.P. Williams, R. Seager, M.J. Puma, I. Aleinov, M. Kelley, and L. Nazarenko, 2021: Disentangling the regional climate impacts of competing vegetation responses to elevated atmospheric CO2. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 126, no. 5, e2020JD034108, doi:10.1029/2020JD034108.

Miller, J.R., J.E. Fuller, M.J. Puma, and J.M. Finnegan, 2021: Elevation dependent warming in the Eastern Siberian Arctic. Environ. Res. Lett., 16, no. 2, 024044, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abdb5e.

Miller, R.L., G.A. Schmidt, L. Nazarenko, S.E. Bauer, M. Kelley, R. Ruedy, G.L. Russell, A. Ackerman, I. Aleinov, M. Bauer, R. Bleck, V. Canuto, G. Cesana, Y. Cheng, T.L. Clune, B. Cook, C.A. Cruz, A.D. Del Genio, G.S. Elsaesser, G. Faluvegi, N.Y. Kiang, D. Kim, A.A. Lacis, A. Leboissetier, A.N. LeGrande, K.K. Lo, J. Marshall, E.E. Matthews, S. McDermid, K. Mezuman, L.T. Murray, V. Oinas, C. Orbe, C. Pérez García-Pando, J.P. Perlwitz, M.J. Puma, D. Rind, A. Romanou, D.T. Shindell, S. Sun, N. Tausnev, K. Tsigaridis, G. Tselioudis, E. Weng, J. Wu, and M.-S. Yao, 2021: CMIP6 historical simulations (1850-2014) with GISS-E2.1. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 13, no. 1, e2019MS002034, doi:10.1029/2019MS002034.

Schon, J., K. Mezuman, A. Heslin, R.D. Field, and M.J. Puma, 2021: How fire patterns reveal uneven stabilization at the end of conflict: Examining Syria's unusual fire year in 2019. Environ. Res. Lett., 16, no. 4, 044046, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abe327.

2020

Cook, B.I., S.S. McDermid, M.J. Puma, A.P. Williams, R. Seager, M. Kelley, L. Nazarenko, and I. Aleinov, 2020: Divergent regional climate consequences of maintaining current irrigation rates in the 21st century. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 125, no. 14, e2019JD031814, doi:10.1029/2019JD031814.

Heslin, A., M.J. Puma, P. Marchand, J.A. Carr, J. Dell'Angelo, P. D'Odorico, J.A. Gephart, M. Kummu, M. Porkka, M.C. Rulli, D. Seekell, S. Suweis, and A. Tavoni, 2020: Simulating the cascading effects of an extreme agricultural production shock: Global implications of a contemporary US Dust Bowl event. Front. Sustain. Food Syst., 4, 26, doi:10.3389/fsufs.2020.00026.

Jägermeyr, J., A. Robock, J. Elliott, C. Müller, L. Xia, N. Khabarov, C. Folberth, E. Schmid, W. Liu, F. Zabel, S.S. Rabin, M.J. Puma, A.C. Heslin, J. Franke, I. Foster, S. Asseng, C.G. Bardeen, O.B. Toon, and C. Rosenzweig, 2020: A regional nuclear conflict would compromise global food security. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 117, no. 13, 7071-7081, doi:10.1073/pnas.1919049117.

Kakinuma, K., M.J. Puma, Y. Hirabayashi, M. Tanoue, E.A. Baptista, and S. Kanae, 2020: Flood-induced population displacements in the world. Environ. Res. Lett., 15, no. 12, 124029, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abc586.

Kelley, M., G.A. Schmidt, L. Nazarenko, S.E. Bauer, R. Ruedy, G.L. Russell, A.S. Ackerman, I. Aleinov, M. Bauer, R. Bleck, V. Canuto, G. Cesana, Y. Cheng, T.L. Clune, B.I. Cook, C.A. Cruz, A.D. Del Genio, G.S. Elsaesser, G. Faluvegi, N.Y. Kiang, D. Kim, A.A. Lacis, A. Leboissetier, A.N. LeGrande, K.K. Lo, J. Marshall, E.E. Matthews, S. McDermid, K. Mezuman, R.L. Miller, L.T. Murray, V. Oinas, C. Orbe, C. Pérez García-Pando, J.P. Perlwitz, M.J. Puma, D. Rind, A. Romanou, D.T. Shindell, S. Sun, N. Tausnev, K. Tsigaridis, G. Tselioudis, E. Weng, J. Wu, and M.-S. Yao, 2020: GISS-E2.1: Configurations and climatology. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 12, no. 8, e2019MS002025, doi:10.1029/2019MS002025.

Kinnunen, P., J.H.A. Guillaume, M. Taka, P. D'Odorico, S. Siebert, M.J. Puma, M. Jalava, and M. Kummu, 2020: Local food crop production can fulfil demand for less than one-third of the population. Nat. Food, 1, no. 4, 229-237, doi:10.1038/s43016-020-0060-7.

Krakauer, N.Y., B.I. Cook, and M.J. Puma, 2020: Effect of irrigation on humid heat extremes. Environ. Res. Lett., 15, no. 9, 094010, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab9ecf.

2019

Cook, B.I., R. Seager, A.P. Williams, M.J. Puma, S. McDermid, M. Kelley, and L. Nazarenko, 2019: Climate change amplification of natural drought variability: The historic mid-twentieth century North American drought in a warmer world. J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0832.1.

DeFries, R., O. Edenhofer, A. Halliday, G. Heal, T. Lenton, M. Puma, J. Rising, J. Rockström, A.C. Ruane, H.J. Schellnhuber, D. Stainforth, N. Stern, M. Tedesco, and B. Ward, 2019: The Missing Economic Risks in Assessments of Climate Change Impacts. Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, doi:10.7916/d8-6f8h-md45.

Del Genio, A.D., M.J. Way, N. Kiang, I. Aleinov, M.J. Puma, and B. Cook, 2019: Climates of warm Earth-like planets III: Fractional habitability from a water cycle perspective. Astrophys. J., 887, no. 2, 197, doi:10.3847/1538-4357/ab57fd.

McDermid, S.S., C. Montes, B.I. Cook, M.J. Puma, N.Y. Kiang, and I. Aleinov, 2019: The sensitivity of land-atmosphere coupling to modern agriculture in the northern mid-latitudes. J. Climate, 32, no. 2, 465-484, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0799.1.

Puma, M.J., 2019: Resilience of the global food system. Nat. Sustain., 2, no. 4, 260-261, doi:10.1038/s41893-019-0274-6.

2018

Heino, M., M.J. Puma, P.J. Ward, D. Gerten, V. Heck, S. Siebert, and M. Kummu, 2018: Two-thirds of global cropland area impacted by climate oscillations. Nat. Commun., 9, 1257, doi:10.1038/s41467-017-02071-5.

Puma, M.J., S.Y. Chon, K. Kakinuma, M. Kummu, R. Muttarak, R. Seager, and W. Wada, 2018: A developing food crisis and potential refugee movements. Nat. Sustain., 1, 380-382, doi:10.1038/s41893-018-0123-z.

Singh, D., S.P. McDermid, B.I. Cook, M.J. Puma, L. Nazarenko, and M. Kelley, 2018: Distinct influences of land-cover and land-management on seasonal climate. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 123, no. 21, 12017-12039, doi:10.1029/2018JD028874.

Torreggiani, S., G. Mangioni, M.J. Puma, and G. Fagilo, 2018: Identifying the community structure of the international food-trade multi network. Environ. Res. Lett., 13, no. 5, 054026, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aabf23.

2017

Dalin, C., Y. Wada, T. Kastner, and M.J. Puma, 2017: Groundwater depletion embedded in international food trade. Nature, 543, no. 7647, 700-704, doi:10.1038/nature21403.

Seekell, D.A., J. Carr, J. Dell'Angelo, P. D'Odorico, M. Fader, J.A. Gephart, M. Kummu, N. Magliocca, M. Porkka, and M.J. Puma, 2017: Resilience in the global food system. Environ. Res. Lett., 12, no. 2, 025010, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa5730.

2016

Fader, M., M.C. Rulli, J. Carr, J. Dell'Angelo, P. D'Odorico, J. Gephart, M. Kummu, N. Magliocca, M. Porkka, C. Prell, M.J. Puma, Z. Ratajczak, D.A. Seekell, S. Suweis, and A. Tavoni, 2016: Past and present biophysical redundancy of countries as a buffer to changes in food supply. Environ. Res. Lett., 11, no. 5, 055008, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/055008.

Krakauer, N.Y., M.J. Puma, B.I. Cook, P. Gentine, and L. Nazarenko, 2016: Ocean-atmosphere interactions modulate irrigation's climate impacts. Earth Syst. Dyn., 7, 863-876, doi:10.5194/esd-7-863-2016.

Marchand, P., J.A. Carr, J. Dell'Angelo, M. Fader, J.A. Gephard, M. Kummu, N.R. Magliocca, M. Porkka, M.J. Puma, and Z. Ratajczak, 2016: Reserves and trade jointly determine exposure to food supply shocks. Environ. Res. Lett., 11, no. 9, 095009, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/095009.

Van den Hurk, B., H. Kim, G. Krinner, S.I. Seneviratne, C. Derksen, T. Oki, H. Douville, J. Colin, A. Ducharne, F. Cheruy, N. Viovy, M. Puma, Y. Wada, W. Li, B. Jia, A. Alessandri, D. Lawrence, G.P. Weedon, R. Ellis, S. Hagemann, J. Mao, M.G. Flanner, M. Zampieri, R. Law, and J. Sheffield, 2016: LS3MIP (v1.0) contribution to CMIP6: The Land Surface, Snow and Soil moisture Model Intercomparison Project — Aims, setup and expected outcome. Geosci. Model Dev., 6, 2809-2832, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-2809-2016.

2015

Cook, B.I., S.P. Shukla, M.J. Puma, and L. Nazarenko, 2015: Irrigation as an historical climate forcing. Clim. Dyn., 44, no. 5-6, 1715-1730, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2204-7.

Kim, Y., P.R. Moorcroft, I. Aleinov, M.J. Puma, and N.Y. Kiang, 2015: Variability of phenology and fluxes of water and carbon with observed and simulated soil moisture in the Ent Terrestrial Biosphere Model (Ent TBM version 1.0.1.0.0). Geosci. Model Dev., doi:10.5194/gmd-8-3837-2015.

Nazarenko, L., G.A. Schmidt, R.L. Miller, N. Tausnev, M. Kelley, R. Ruedy, G.L. Russell, I. Aleinov, M. Bauer, S. Bauer, R. Bleck, V. Canuto, Y. Cheng, T.L. Clune, A.D. Del Genio, G. Faluvegi, J.E. Hansen, R.J. Healy, N.Y. Kiang, D. Koch, A.A. Lacis, A.N. LeGrande, J. Lerner, K.K. Lo, S. Menon, V. Oinas, J.P. Perlwitz, M.J. Puma, D. Rind, A. Romanou, M. Sato, D.T. Shindell, S. Sun, K. Tsigaridis, N. Unger, A. Voulgarakis, M.-S. Yao, and J. Zhang, 2015: Future climate change under RCP emission scenarios with GISS ModelE2. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 7, no. 1, 244-267, doi:10.1002/2014MS000403.

Puma, M., S. Bose, S.Y. Chon, and B. Cook, 2015: Assessing the evolving fragility of the global food system. Environ. Res. Lett., 10, no. 2, 024007, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/2/024007.

Puma, M.J., S. Chon, and Y. Wada, 2015: Exploring the potential impacts of historic volcanic eruptions on the contemporary global food system. PAGES, 23, no. 2, 66-67.

2014

Miller, R.L., G.A. Schmidt, L.S. Nazarenko, N. Tausnev, S.E. Bauer, A.D. Del Genio, M. Kelley, K.K. Lo, R. Ruedy, D.T. Shindell, I. Aleinov, M. Bauer, R. Bleck, V. Canuto, Y.-H. Chen, Y. Cheng, T.L. Clune, G. Faluvegi, J.E. Hansen, R.J. Healy, N.Y. Kiang, D. Koch, A.A. Lacis, A.N. LeGrande, J. Lerner, S. Menon, V. Oinas, C. Pérez García-Pando, J.P. Perlwitz, M.J. Puma, D. Rind, A. Romanou, G.L. Russell, M. Sato, S. Sun, K. Tsigaridis, N. Unger, A. Voulgarakis, M.-S. Yao, and J. Zhang, 2014: CMIP5 historical simulations (1850-2012) with GISS ModelE2. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 6, no. 2, 441-477, doi:10.1002/2013MS000266.

Schmidt, G.A., M. Kelley, L. Nazarenko, R. Ruedy, G.L. Russell, I. Aleinov, M. Bauer, S.E. Bauer, M.K. Bhat, R. Bleck, V. Canuto, Y.-H. Chen, Y. Cheng, T.L. Clune, A. Del Genio, R. de Fainchtein, G. Faluvegi, J.E. Hansen, R.J. Healy, N.Y. Kiang, D. Koch, A.A. Lacis, A.N. LeGrande, J. Lerner, K.K. Lo, E.E. Matthews, S. Menon, R.L. Miller, V. Oinas, A.O. Oloso, J.P. Perlwitz, M.J. Puma, W.M. Putman, D. Rind, A. Romanou, M. Sato, D.T. Shindell, S. Sun, R.A. Syed, N. Tausnev, K. Tsigaridis, N. Unger, A. Voulgarakis, M.-S. Yao, and J. Zhang, 2014: Configuration and assessment of the GISS ModelE2 contributions to the CMIP5 archive. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 6, no. 1, 141-184, doi:10.1002/2013MS000265.

Shukla, S.P., M.J. Puma, and B.I. Cook, 2014: The response of the South Asian Summer Monsoon circulation to intensified irrigation in global climate model simulations. Clim. Dyn., 42, no. 1-2, 21-36, doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1786-9.

2013

Krakauer, N.Y., M.J. Puma, and B.I. Cook, 2013: Impacts of soil-aquifer heat and water fluxes on simulated global climate. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 1963-1974, doi:10.5194/hess-17-1963-2013.

Puma, M.J., R.D. Koster, and B.I. Cook, 2013: Phenological versus meteorological controls on land-atmosphere water and carbon fluxes. J. Geophys. Res. Biogeosci., 118, no. 1, 14-29, doi:10.1029/2012JG002088.

2012

Cook, B.I., K.J. Anchukaitis, J.O. Kaplan, M.J. Puma, M. Kelley, and D. Gueyffier, 2012: Pre-Columbian deforestation as an amplifier of drought in Mesoamerica. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L16706, doi:10.1029/2012GL052565.

Puma, M.J., 2012: A holistic approach to guide development of future climate scenarios for water-resource applications. J. Contemp. Water Res. Educ., 147, 41-48.

2011

Cook, B.I., M.J. Puma, and N.Y. Krakauer, 2011: Irrigation induced surface cooling in the context of modern and increased greenhouse gas forcing. Clim. Dyn., 37, 1587-1600, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0932-x.

Puma, M.J., and S. Gold, 2011: Formulating Climate Change Scenarios to Inform Climate-Resilient Development Strategies: A Guidebook for Practitioners. United Nations Development Programme.

2010

Krakauer, N.Y., B.I. Cook, and M.J. Puma, 2010: Contribution of soil moisture feedback to hydroclimatic variability. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 505-520.

Puma, M.J., and B.I. Cook, 2010: Effects of irrigation on global climate during the 20th century. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D16120, doi:10.1029/2010JD014122.

2009

Koster, R.D., Z. Guo, P.A. Dirmeyer, R. Yang, K. Mitchell, and M.J. Puma, 2009: On the nature of soil moisture in land surface models. J. Climate, 22, 4322-4335, doi:10.1175/2009JCLI2832.1.

2007

Puma, M.J., R. Rodriguez-Iturbe, M.A. Celia, and A.J. Guswa, 2007: Implications of rainfall temporal resolution for soil-moisture and transpiration modeling. Transp. Porous Media, 68, 37-67, doi:10.1007/s11242-006-9057-4.

2006

Puma, M.J., M.A. Celia, I. Rodriguez-Iturbe, J.M. Nordbotton, and A.J. Guswa, 2006: Threshold scales for spatially averaged soil moisture and evapotranspiration with rainfall heterogeneity. In Proceedings of XVI International Conference on Computational Methods in Water Resources. P.J. Binning, P.K. Engesgaard, H.K. Dahle, G.F. Pinder, and W.G. Gray, Eds., Technical University of Denmark.

2005

Puma, M.J., M.A. Celia, R. Rodriguez-Iturbe, and A.J. Guswa, 2005: Functional relationship to describe temporal statistics of soil moisture averaged over different depths. Adv. Water Resour., 28, 553-566, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2004.08.015.

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