Author Bibliographies
Publications by Katherine D. Marvel
This citation list includes papers published while the author has been on staff at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies. It may include some publications based on research conducted prior to their having joined the institute staff.
Submitted / In Review
Schwarzwald, K., L. Goddard, R. Seager, M. Ting, and Understanding CMIP6 biases in the representation of the greater Horn of Africa long and short rains. Clim. Dyn., submitted.
, 2022:In Press / Accepted
Megadroughts in the Common Era and the Anthropocene. Nat. Rev. Earth Environ., accepted.
, J.E Smerdon, E.R Cook, A.P. Williams, K.J Anchukaitis, J.S Mankin, K. Allen, L. Andreu-Hayles, T.R Ault, S. Belmecheri, S. Coats, B. Coulthard, B. Fosu, P. Grierson, D. Griffin, D.A Herrera, M. Ionita, F. Lehner, C. Leland, , M.S Morales, V. Mishra, J. Ngoma, H.T.T Nguyen, A. O'Donnell, J. Palmer, M.P Rao, M. Rodriguez-Caton, R. Seager, D.W Stahle, S. Stevenson, U.K Thapa, A.M Varuolo-Clarke, and E.K Wise, 2022:2022
Hausfather, Z., Climate simulations: Recognize the 'hot model' problem. Nature, 605, 26-29, doi:10.1038/d41586-022-01192-2.
, , J.W. Nielsen-Gammon, and M. Zelinka, 2022:2021
Uncertainties, limits, and benefits of climate change mitigation for soil moisture drought in Southwestern North America. Earth's Future, 9, no. 9, e2021EF002014, doi:10.1029/2021EF002014.
, J.S. Mankin, A.P. Williams, , J.E. Smerdon, and H. Liu, 2021:Projected changes to hydroclimate seasonality in the continental United States. Earth's Future, 9, no. 9, e2021EF002019, doi:10.1029/2021EF002019.
, , C. Bonfils, J.E. Smerdon, A.P. Williams, and H. Liu, 2021:2020
Bonfils, C.J.W., B.D. Santer, J.C. Fyfe, Human influence on joint changes in temperature, rainfall and continental aridity. Nat. Clim. Change, 10, no. 8, 726-731, doi:10.1038/s41558-020-0821-1.
, T.J. Phillips, and S.R.H. Zimmerman, 2020:Twenty-first Century drought projections in the CMIP6 forcing scenarios. Earth's Future, 8, no. 6, e2019EF001461, doi:10.1029/2019EF001461.
, J.S. Mankin, , A.P. Williams, J.E. Smerdon, and K.J. Anchukaitis, 2020:Fingerprints of external forcing agents on Sahel rainfall: Aerosols, greenhouse gases, and model-observation discrepancies. Environ. Res. Lett., 15, no. 8, 084023, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab858e.
, M. Biasutti, and C. Bonfils, 2020:Sherwood, S., M.J. Webb, J.D. Annan, K.C. Armour, P.M. Forster, J. Hargreaves, G. Hegerl, S.A. Klein, An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence. Rev. Geophys., 58, no. 4, e2019RG000678, doi:10.1029/2019RG000678.
, E.J. Rohling, M. Watanabe, T. Andrews, P. Braconnot, C. Bretherton, G.L. Foster, Z. Hausfather, A.S. von der Heydt, R. Knutti, T. Mauritsen, J.R. Norris, C. Proistosescu, M. Rugenstein, , K.B. Tokarska, and M.D. Zelinka, 2020:Tokarska, K.B., G.C. Hegerl, A.P. Schurer, P.M. Forster, and Observational constraints on the effective climate sensitivity from the historical period. Environ. Res. Lett., 15, no. 3, 034043, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab738f.
, 2020:2019
Twentieth-century hydroclimate changes consistent with human influence. Nature, 569, no. 7754, 59-65, doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1149-8.
, , C.J.W. Bonfils, P.J. Durack, J.E. Smerdon, and A.P. Williams, 2019:2018
Internal variability and disequilibrium confound estimates of climate sensitivity from observations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, no. 3, 1595-1601, doi:10.1002/2017GL076468.
, R. Pincus, , and , 2018:2017
Bonfils, C., G. Anderson, B.D. Santer, T.J. Phillips, K.E. Taylor, M. Cuntz, M.D. Zelinka, Competing influences of anthropogenic warming, ENSO, and plant physiology on future terrestrial aridity. J. Climate, 30, no. 17, 6883-6904, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0005.1.
, , I. Cvijanovic, and P.J. Durack, 2017:Observed and projected changes to the precipitation annual cycle. J. Climate, 30, 4983-4995, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0572.1.
, M. Biasutti, C. Bonfils, K.E. Taylor, Y. Kushnir, and , 2017:The cloud conundrum. Sci. Amer., 317, no. 6, 72-77, doi:10.1038/scientificamerican1217-72.
, 2017:Overestimate of committed warming. Nature, 547, E16-E17, doi:10.1038/nature22803.
, J. Severinghaus, A. Abe-Ouchi, R.B. Alley, W. Broecker, E. Brook, K. Etheridge, K. Kawamura, R.F. Kelling, M. Leinen, , and T.F. Stocker, 2017:2016
Caldwell, P.M., M.D. Zelinka, K.E. Taylor, and Quantifying the sources of inter-model spread in equilibrium climate sensitivity. J. Climate, 29, no. 2, 513-524, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0352.1.
, 2016:Ivanova, D.P., P.J. Gleckler, K.E. Taylor, P.J. Durack, and Moving beyond the total sea ice extent in gauging model biases. J. Climate, 29, no. 24, 8965-9004, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0026.1.
, 2016:Implications for climate sensitivity from the response to individual forcings. Nat. Clim. Change, 6, no. 4, 386-389, doi:10.1038/nclimate2888.
, , , and , 2016:2015
Bonfils, C.J.W., B.D. Santer, T.J. Phillips, Relative contributions of mean-state shifts and ENSO-driven variability to precipitation changes in a warming climate. J. Climate, 28, no. 24, 9997-10013, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0341.1.
, L.R. Leung, C. Doutriaux, and A. Capotondi, 2015:Do responses to different anthropogenic forcings add linearly in climate models? Environ. Res. Lett., 10, no. 10, 104010, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/10/104010.
, , D. Shindell, C. Bonfils, , , and , 2015:External influences on modeled and observed cloud trends. J. Climate, 28, no. 12, 4820-4840, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00734.1.
, M. Zelinka, S.A. Klein, C. Bonfils, P. Caldwell, C. Doutriaux, B.D. Santer, and K.E. Taylor, 2015:Sensitivity to factors underlying the hiatus. US CLIVAR Variations, 13, no. 3, 25-29.
, , , and , 2015:2013
Geophysical limits to global wind power. Nat. Clim. Change, 3, no. 2, 118-121, doi:10.1038/NCLIMATE1683.
, B. Kravitz, and K. Caldeira, 2013:Identifying external influences on global precipitation. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 110, no. 48, 19301-19306, doi:10.1073/pnas.1314382110.
, and C. Bonfils, 2013:Scale space methods for climate model analysis. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 118, no. 11, 5082-5097, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50433.
, D. Ivanova, and K.E. Taylor, 2013:2010
Marvel, K., and U. Agvaanluvsan, 2010: Random matrix theory models of electric grid topology. Physica A, 389, no. 24, 5836-5851, doi:10.1016/j.physa.2010.08.009.
2008
Marvel, K., and D. Wesley, 2008: Tunneling with negative tension. J. High Energy Phys., 2008, no. 12, 34, doi:10.1088/1126-6708/2008/12/034.