Alumni Bibliographies

Publications by Justin S. Mankin

This citation list includes papers published while the author was on staff at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies. It may also include some publications before or after that period if another GISS researcher was a co-author.

2022

Cook, B.I, J.E Smerdon, E.R Cook, A.P. Williams, K.J Anchukaitis, J.S Mankin, K. Allen, L. Andreu-Hayles, T.R Ault, S. Belmecheri, S. Coats, B. Coulthard, B. Fosu, P. Grierson, D. Griffin, D.A Herrera, M. Ionita, F. Lehner, C. Leland, K. Marvel, M.S Morales, V. Mishra, J. Ngoma, H.T.T Nguyen, A. O'Donnell, J. Palmer, M.P Rao, M. Rodriguez-Caton, R. Seager, D.W Stahle, S. Stevenson, U.K Thapa, A.M Varuolo-Clarke, and E.K Wise, 2022: Megadroughts in the Common Era and the Anthropocene. Nat. Rev. Earth Environ., 3, no. 11, 741-757, doi:10.1038/s43017-022-00329-1.

Williams, A.P., B. Livneh, K.A. McKinnon, W.D. Hansen, J.S. Mankin, B.I. Cook, J.E. Smerdon, A.M. Varuolo-Clarke, N.R. Bjarke, C.S. Juang, and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2022: Growing impact of wildfire on western US water supply. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 119, no. 10, e2114069119, doi:10.1073/pnas.2114069119.

2021

Cook, B.I., J.S. Mankin, A.P. Williams, K.D. Marvel, J.E. Smerdon, and H. Liu, 2021: Uncertainties, limits, and benefits of climate change mitigation for soil moisture drought in Southwestern North America. Earth's Future, 9, no. 9, e2021EF002014, doi:10.1029/2021EF002014.

McDermid, S.S., B.I. Cook, M.G. De Kauwe, J. Mankin, J.E. Smerdon, A.P. Williams, R. Seager, M.J. Puma, I. Aleinov, M. Kelley, and L. Nazarenko, 2021: Disentangling the regional climate impacts of competing vegetation responses to elevated atmospheric CO2. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 126, no. 5, e2020JD034108, doi:10.1029/2020JD034108.

2020

Cook, B.I., J.S. Mankin, K. Marvel, A.P. Williams, J.E. Smerdon, and K.J. Anchukaitis, 2020: Twenty-first Century drought projections in the CMIP6 forcing scenarios. Earth's Future, 8, no. 6, e2019EF001461, doi:10.1029/2019EF001461.

2019

Bishop, D.A., A.P. Williams, R. Seager, A.M. Fiore, B.I. Cook, J.S. Mankin, D. Singh, J.E. Smerdon, and M.P. Rao, 2019: Investigating the causes of increased 20th-century fall precipitation over the southeastern United States. J. Climate, 32, no. 2, 575-590, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0244.1.

Mankin, J.S., R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook, and A.P. Williams, 2019: Mid-latitude freshwater availability reduced by projected vegetation responses to climate change. Nat. Geosci., 12, no. 12, 983-988, doi:10.1038/s41561-019-0480-x.

2018

Ault, T.R., S. St. George, J.E. Smerdon, S. Coats, J.S. Mankin, C.M. Carrillo, B.I. Cook, and S. Stevenson, 2018: A robust null hypothesis for the potential causes of megadrought in western North America. J. Climate, 31, no. 1, 3-24, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0154.1.

Cook, B.I., J.S. Mankin, and K.J. Anchukaitis, 2018: Climate change and drought: From past to future. Curr. Clim. Change Rep., 4, no. 2, 164-170, doi:10.1007/s40641-018-0093-2.

Cook, B.I., A.P. Williams, J.S. Mankin, R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon, and D. Singh, 2018: Revisiting the leading drivers of Pacific coastal drought variability in the Contiguous United States. J. Climate, 31, no. 1, 25-43, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0172.1.

Diffenbaugh, N.S., D. Singh, and J.S. Mankin, 2018: Unprecedented climate events: Historical changes, aspirational targets, and national commitments. Sci. Adv., 4, no. 2, eaao3354, doi:10.1126/sciadv.aao3354.

Mankin, J.S., R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook, A.P. Williams, and R.M. Horton, 2018: Blue water tradeoffs with vegetation in a CO2-enriched climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, no. 7, 3115-3125, doi:10.1002/2018GL077051.

Skinner, C.B., C.J. Poulsen, and J.S. Mankin, 2018: Amplification of heat extremes by plant CO2 physiological forcing. Nat. Commun., 9, no. 1, 1094, doi:10.1038/s41467-018-03472-w.

2017

Diffenbaugh, N.S., D. Singh, J.S. Mankin, D.E. Horton, D.L. Swain, D. Touma, A. Charland, Y. Liu, M. Haugen, M. Tsiang, and B. Rajaratnam, 2017: Quantifying the influence of global warming on unprecedented extreme climate events. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 144, no. 19, 4881-4886, doi:10.1073/pnas.1618082114.

Mankin, J.S., D. Viviroli, A.Y. Hoekstra, R. Horton, J. Smerdon, and N.S. Diffenbaugh, 2017: Influence of internal variability on population exposure to hydroclimatic changes. Environ. Res. Lett., 12, no. 4, 044007, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa5efc.

Mankin, J.S., J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook, A.P. Williams, and R. Seager, 2017: The curious case of projected 21st-century drying but greening in the American West. J. Climate, 30, no. 21, 8689-8710, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0213.1.

PAGES Hydro2k Consortium, J.E. Smerdon, J. Luterbacher, S.J. Phipps, K.J. Anchukaitis, T. Ault, S. Coats, K.M. Cobb, B.I. Cook, C. Colose, T. Felis, A. Gallant, J.H. Jungclaus, B. Konecky, A. LeGrande, S. Lewis, A.S. Lopatka, W. Man, J.S. Mankin, J.T. Maxwell, B.L. Otto-Bliesner, J.W. Partin, D. Singh, N.J. Steiger, S. Stevenson, J.E. Tierney, D. Zanchettin, H. Zhang, A.R. Atwood, L. Andreu-Hayles, S.H. Baek, B. Buckley, E.R. Cook, R. D'Arrigo, S.G. Dee, M. Griffiths, C. Kulkarni, Y. Kushnir, F. Lehner, C. Leland, H.W. Linderholm, A. Okazaki, J. Palmer, E. Piovano, C.C. Raible, M.P. Rao, J. Scheff, G.A. Schmidt, R. Seager, M. Widmann, A.P. Williams, and E. Xoplaki, 2017: Comparing proxy and model estimates of hydroclimate variability and change over the Common Era. Clim. Past, 13, 1851-1900, doi:10.5194/cp-13-1851-2017.

Swain, D.L., D. Singh, D.E. Horton, J.S. Mankin, T.C. Ballard, and N.S. Diffenbaugh, 2017: Remote linkages to anomalous winter atmospheric ridging over the northeastern Pacific. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, no. 22, 12194-12209, doi:10.1002/2017JD026575.

Williams, A.P., B.I. Cook, J.E. Smerdon, D.A. Bishop, R. Seager, and J.S. Mankin, 2017: The 2016 southeastern U.S. drought: An extreme departure from centennial wetting and cooling. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, no. 20, 10888-10905, doi:10.1002/2017JD027523.

2016

Ault, T.R., J.S. Mankin, B.I. Cook, and J.E. Smerdon, 2016: Relative impacts of mitigation, temperature, and precipitation on 21st Century megadrought risk in the American Southwest. Sci. Adv., 2, no. 10, e1600873, doi:10.1126/sciadv.1600873.

Coats, S., and J.S. Mankin, 2016: The challenge of accurately quantifying future megadrought risk in the American Southwest. Geophys. Res. Lett., no. 17, 9225-9233, doi:10.1002/2016GL070445.

Horton, R., J.S. Mankin, C. Lesk, E. Coffel, and C. Raymond, 2016: A review of recent advances in research on extreme heat events. Curr. Clim. Change Rep., 2, no. 4, 242-259, doi:10.1007/s40641-016-0042-x.

Singh, D., D.L. Swain, J.S. Mankin, D.E. Horton, L.N. Thomas, B. Rajaratnam, and N.S. Diffenbaugh, 2016: Recent amplification of the North American winter temperature dipole. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 121, no. 17, 9911-9928, doi:10.1002/2016JD025116.

2015

Mankin, J.S., D. Viviroli, D. Singh, A.Y. Hoekstra, and N.S. Diffenbaugh, 2015: The potential for snow to supply human water demand in the present and future. Environ. Res. Lett., 10, no. 11, 114016, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/11/114016.

• Return to Publications Homepage