Author Bibliographies
Publications by Jonas Jägermeyr
This citation list includes papers published while the author has been on staff at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies. It may include some publications based on research conducted prior to their having joined the institute staff.
Submitted / In Review
Chrysafi, A., V. Virkki, M. Jalava, V. Sandström, J. Piipponen, M. Porkka, J.S. Lade, K. La Mere, L. Wang-Erlandsson, L. Scherer, S.L. Andersen, E. Bennett, A.K. Brauman, S.G. Cooper, A. De Palma, P. Döll, S.A. Downing, C.T. DuBois, I. Fetzer, A.E. Fulton, D. Gerten, H. Jaafar, , F. Jaramillo, M. Jung, H. Kahiluoto, L. Lassaletta, W.A. Mackay, D. Mason-D'Croz, M.M. Mekonnen, L.K. Nash, V.A. Pastor, N. Ramankutty, B. Ridoutt, S. Siebert, I.B. Simmons, A. Staal, Z. Sun, A. Tobian, A. Usubiaga-Liaño, J.R. Van der Ent, A. Van Soesbergen, H.P. Verburg, Y. Wada, C.S. Zipper, and M. Kummu, 2021: Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production: An expert elicitation. Nat. Sustain., submitted.
Xia, L., A. Robock, K. Scherrer, C. Harrison, , C. Bardeen, O. Toon, and R. Heneghan, 2021: Global famine after nuclear war. Nat. Food, submitted.
2022
Bo, Y., , Z. Yin, Y. Jiang, J. Xu, H. Liang, and F. Zhou, 2022: Global benefits of non-continuous flooding to reduce greenhouse gases and irrigation water use without rice yield penalty. Glob. Change Biol., 28, no. 11, 3636-3650, doi:10.1111/gcb.16132.
Franke, J.A., C. Müller, S. Minoli, J. Elliott, C. Folberth, C. Gardner, T. Hank, R.C. Izaurralde, , C. Jones, W. Liu, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, , H. Stephens, F. Zabel, and E. Moyer, 2022: Agricultural breadbaskets shift poleward given adaptive farmer behavior under climate change. Glob. Change Biol., 28, no. 1, 167-181, doi:10.1111/gcb.15868.
Heinicke, S., K. Frieler, , and M. Mengel, 2022: Global gridded crop models underestimate yield responses to droughts and heatwaves. Environ. Res. Lett., 17, no. 4, 044026, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac592e.
Hochman, G., H. Zhang, L. Xia, A. Robock, S. Aleti, D. van der Mensbrugghe, and , 2022: Economic incentives modify agricultural impacts of nuclear war. Environ. Res. Lett., 17, no. 5, 054003, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac61c7.
Nkwasa, A., C.J. Chawanda, , and A. van Griensven, 2022: Improved representation of agricultural land use and crop management for large scale hydrological impact simulation in Africa using SWAT+. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, no. 1, 71-89, doi:10.5194/hess-26-71-2022.
2021
Bardeen, C.G., D.E. Kinnison, O.B. Toon, M.J. Mills, F. Vitt, L. Xia, , N.S. Lovenduski, K.J.N. Scherrer, M. Clyne, and A. Robock, 2021: Extreme ozone loss following nuclear war results in enhanced surface ultraviolet radiation. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 126, no. 18, e2021JD035079, doi:10.1029/2021JD035079.
Brás, T.A., J. Seixas, N. Carvalhais, and , 2021: Severity of drought and heatwave crop losses tripled over the last five decades in Europe. Environ. Res. Lett., 16, no. 6, 065012, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abf004.
Falkendal, T., C. Otto, J. Schewe, , M. Konar, M. Kummu, B. Watkins, and , 2021: Grain export restrictions during COVID-19 risk food insecurity in many low- and middle-income countries. Nat. Food, 2, no. 1, 11-14, doi:10.1038/s43016-020-00211-7.
, C. Müller, , J. Elliott, J. Balkovic, O. Castillo, B. Faye, I. Foster, C. Folberth, J.A. Franke, K. Fuchs, J. Guarin, J. Heinke, G. Hoogenboom, T. Iizumi, A.K. Kain, D. Kelly, N. Khabarov, S. Lange, T.-S. Lin, W. Liu, O. Mialyk, S. Minoli, E.J. Moyer, M. Okada, , C. Porter, S. Rabin, C. Scheer, J.M. Schneider, J.F. Schyns, R. Skalsky, A. Smerald, T. Stella, H. Stephens, H. Webber, F. Zabel, and , 2021: Climate impacts on global agriculture emerge earlier in new generation of climate and crop models. Nat. Food, 2, no. 11, 873-885, doi:10.1038/s43016-021-00400-y.
Liu, W., T. Ye, , C. Müller, S. Chen, X. Liu, and P. Shi, 2021: Future climate change significantly alters interannual wheat yield variability over half of harvested areas. Environ. Res. Lett., 16, no. 9, 094045, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac1fbb.
Müller, C., J. Franke, , , J. Elliott, E. Moyer, J. Heinke, P. Falloon, C. Folberth, L. Francois, T. Hank, R. Izaurralde, I. Jacquemin, W. Liu, S. Olin, T. Pugh, K. Williams, and F. Zabel, 2021: Exploring uncertainties in global crop yield projections in a large ensemble of crop models and CMIP5 and CMIP6 climate scenarios. Environ. Res. Lett., 16, no. 3, 034040, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abd8fc.
, , C. Müller, J. Elliott, , A. Arneth, J. Balkovic, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, T. Iizumi, R.C. Izaurralde, N. Khabarov, P. Lawrence, W. Liu, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, , G. Sakurai, E. Schmid, B. Sultan, X. Wang, A. de Wit, and H. Yang, 2021: Strong regional influence of climatic forcing datasets on global crop model ensembles. Agric. Forest Meteorol., 300, 108313, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108313.
Siderius, C., H. Biemans, D. Conway, W.W. Immerzeel, , and B. Ahmad, 2021: Financial feasibility of water conservation in agriculture. Earth's Future, 9, no. 3, e2020EF001726, doi:10.1029/2020EF001726.
Thiery, W., J. Lange, S. Rogelj, C.-F. Schleussner, L. Gudmundsson, S.I. Seneviratne, M. Andrijevic, K. Frieler, K. Emanuel, T. Geiger, D.N. Bresch, F. Zhao, S.N. Willner, M. Büchner, J. Volkholz, N. Bauer, J. Chang, P. Ciais, M. Dury, L. François, M. Grillakis, S.N. Gosling, N. Hanasaki, T. Hickler, V. Huber, A. Ito, , N. Khabarov, A. Koutroulis, W. Liu, W. Lutz, M. Mengel, C. Müller, S. Ostberg, C.P.O. Reyer, T. Stacke, and Y. Wada, 2021: Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes. Science, 374, no. 6564, 158-160, doi:10.1126/science.abi7339.
Wang, X., C. Müller, J. Elliot, N.D. Mueller, P. Ciais, , J. Gerber, P. Dumas, C. Wang, H. Yang, L. Li, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, W. Liu, D. Makowski, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, A. Reddy, E. Schmid, S. Jeong, F. Zhou, and S. Piao, 2021: Global irrigation contribution to wheat and maize yield. Nat. Comm., 12, no. 1, 1235, doi:10.1038/s41467-021-21498-5.
Zabel, F., C. Müller, J. Elliott, S. Minoli, , J.M. Schneider, J.A. Franke, E. Moyer, C. Folberth, M. Dury, L. Francois, W. Liu, T.A. Pugh, S. Olin, S.S. Rabin, W. Mauser, T. Hank, and , 2021: Large potential for crop production adaptation depends on available future varieties. Glob. Change Biol., 27, no. 16, 3870-3882, doi:10.1111/gcb.15649.
2020
Franke, J., C. Müller, J. Elliott, , , A. Snyder, M. Dury, P. Falloon, C. Folberth, L. François, T. Hank, R.C. Izaurralde, I. Jacquemin, C. Jones, M. Li, W. Liu, S. Olin, M. Phillips, T.A.M. Pugh, A. Reddy, K. Williams, Z. Wang, F. Zabel, and E. Moyer, 2020: The GGCMI phase II emulators: Global gridded crop model responses to changes in CO2, temperature, water, and nitrogen (version 1.0). Geosci. Model Dev., 13, no. 9, 3995-4018, doi:10.5194/gmd-13-3995-2020.
Franke, J., C. Müller, J. Elliott, , , J. Balkovic, P. Ciais, M. Dury, P. Falloon, C. Folberth, L. François, T. Hank, M. Hoffmann, C. Izaurralde, I. Jacquemin, C. Jones, N. Khabarov, M. Koch, M. Li, W. Liu, S. Olin, , T.A.M. Pugh, A. Reddy, X. Wang, K. Williams, F. Zabel, and E. Moyer, 2020: The GGCMI Phase II experiment: Global gridded crop model simulations under uniform changes in CO2, temperature, water, and nitrogen levels (protocol version 1.0). Geosci. Model Dev., 13, no. 5, 2315-2336, doi:10.5194/gmd-13-2315-2020.
Gerten, D., V. Heck, , B.L. Bodirsky, I. Fetzer, M. Jalava, M. Kummu, W. Lucht, J. Rockström, S. Schaphoff, and H.J. Schellnhuber, 2020: Feeding ten billion people is possible within four terrestrial planetary boundaries. Nat. Sustain., 3, no. 3, 200-208, doi:10.1038/s41893-019-0465-1.
Huang, G., A.Y. Heokstra, M.S. Krol, A. Galindo, , C. Yu, and R. Wang, 2020: Water-saving agriculture can deliver deep water cuts for China. Resour. Conserv. Recycl., 154, 104578, doi:10.1016/j.resconrec.2019.104578.
, 2020: Agriculture's historic twin-challenge towards sustainable water use and food supply for all. Front. Sustain. Food Syst., 4, 35, doi:10.3389/fsufs.2020.00035.
, A. Robock, J. Elliott, C. Müller, L. Xia, N. Khabarov, C. Folberth, E. Schmid, W. Liu, F. Zabel, S.S. Rabin, , , J. Franke, I. Foster, S. Asseng, C.G. Bardeen, O.B. Toon, and , 2020: A regional nuclear conflict would compromise global food security. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 117, no. 13, 7071-7081, doi:10.1073/pnas.1919049117.
Lange, S., J. Volkholz, T. Geiger, F. Zhao, I. Vega, T. Veldkamp, C.P.O. Reyer, L. Warszawski, V. Huber, , J. Schewe, D.N. Bresch, M. Büchner, J. Chang, P. Ciais, M. Dury, K. Emanuel, C. Folberth, D. Gerten, S.N. Gosling, M. Grillakis, N. Hanasaki, A.-J. Henrot, T. Hickler, Y. Honda, A. Ito, N. Khabarov, A. Koutroulis, W. Liu, C. Müller, K. Nishina, S. Ostberg, H. Müller Schmied, S.I. Seneviratne, T. Stacke, J. Steinkamp, W. Thiery, Y. Wada, S. Willner, H. Yang, M. Yoshikawa, C. Yue, and K. Frieler, 2020: Projecting exposure to extreme climate impact events across six event categories and three spatial scales. Earth's Future, 8, no. 12, e2020EF001616, doi:10.1029/2020EF001616.
Schauberger, B., , and C. Gornott, 2020: A systematic review of local to regional yield forecasting approaches and frequently used data resources. Eur. J. Agron., 120, 126153, doi:10.1016/j.eja.2020.126153.
Scherrer, K.J.N., C.S. Harrison, R.F. Heneghan, E. Galbraith, C.G. Bardeen, J. Coupe, , N.S. Lovenduski, A. Luna, A. Robock, J. Stevens, S. Stevenson, O.B. Toon, and L. Xia, 2020: Marine wild-capture fisheries after nuclear war. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 117, no. 47, 29748-29758, doi:10.1073/pnas.2008256117.
Zhai, R., F. Tao, U. Lall, B. Fu, J. Elliott, and , 2020: Larger drought and flood hazards and adverse impacts on population and economic productivity under 2.0 than 1.5°C warming. Earth's Future, 8, no. 7, e2019EF001398, doi:10.1029/2019EF001398.
2019
Brás, M.A., , and J. Seixas, 2019: Exposure of the EU-28 food imports to extreme weather disasters in exporting countries. Food Secur., 11, no. 6, 1373-1393, doi:10.1007/s12571-019-00975-2.
Minoli, S., C. Müller, J. Elliott, , , F. Zabel, M. Dury, C. Folberth, L. Francois, T. Hank, I. Jacquemin, W. Liu, S. Olin, and T.A.M. Pugh, 2019: Global response patterns of major rainfed crops to adaptation by maintaining current growing periods and irrigation. Earth's Future, 7, no. 12, 1464-1480, doi:10.1029/2018EF001130.
Stenzel, F., D. Gerten, C. Werner, and , 2019: Freshwater requirements of large-scale bioenergy plantations for limiting global warming to 1.5°C. Environ. Res. Lett., 14, no. 8, 084001, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab2b4b.
2018
, and K. Frieler, 2018: Spatial variations in crop growing seasons pivotal to reproduce global fluctuations in maize and wheat yields. Sci. Adv., 4, no. 11, eaat4517, doi:10.1126/sciadv.aat4517.
2017
Frieler, K., S. Lange, F. Piontek, C.P.O. Reyer, J. Schewe, L. Warszawski, F. Zhao, L. Chini, S. Denvil, K. Emanuel, T. Geiger, K. Halladay, G. Hurtt, M. Mengel, D. Murakami, S. Ostberg, A. Popp, R. Riva, M. Stevanovic, T. Suzuki, J. Volkholz, E. Burke, P. Ciais, K. Ebi, T.D. Eddy, , E. Galbraith, S.N. Gosling, F. Hattermann, T. Hickler, J. Hinkel, C. Hof, V. Huber, J. Jägermeyr, V. Krysanova, R. Marcé, H. Müller Schmied, I. Mouratiadou, D. Pierson, D.P. Tittensor, R. Vautard, M. van Vliet, M.F. Biber, R.A. Betts, B.L. Bodirsky, , S. Frolking, C.D. Jones, H.K. Lotze, H. Lotze-Campen, R. Sahajpal, K. Thonicke, H. Tian, and Y. Yamagata, 2017: Assessing the impacts of 1.5°C global warming — Simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b). Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 4321-4345, doi:10.5194/gmd-10-4321-2017.
Kummu, M., M. Fader, D. Gerten, J.H.A. Guillaume, M. Jalava, , S. Pfister, M. Porkka, S. Siebert, and O. Varis, 2017: Bringing it all together: Linking measures to secure nations' food supply. Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustain., 29, 98-117, doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2018.01.006.
