Author Bibliographies

Publications by Jonas Jägermeyr

This citation list includes papers published while the author has been on staff at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies. It may include some publications based on research conducted prior to their having joined the institute staff.

Submitted / In Review

Nkwasa, A., C.J. Chawanda, J. Jägermeyr, and A. van Griensven, 2021: Improved representation of agricultural land use and crop management for large scale hydrological impact simulation in Africa using SWAT+. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., submitted, doi:10.5194/hess-2021-247.

Xia, L., A. Robock, K. Scherrer, C. Harrison, J. Jägermeyr, C. Bardeen, O. Toon, and R. Heneghan, 2021: Global famine after nuclear war. Nat. Food, submitted.

In Press / Accepted

Bardeen, C.G., D.E. Kinnison, O.B. Toon, M.J. Mills, F. Vitt, L. Xia, J. Jägermeyr, N.S. Lovenduski, K.J.N. Scherrer, M. Clyne, and A. Robock, 2021: Extreme ozone loss following nuclear war results in enhanced surface ultraviolet radiation. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., in press, doi:10.1029/2021JD035079.

Franke, J.A., C. Müller, S. Minoli, J. Elliott, C. Folberth, C. Gardner, T. Hank, R.C. Izaurralde, J. Jägermeyr, C. Jones, W. Liu, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, A.C. Ruane, H. Stephens, F. Zabel, and E. Moyer, 2021: Agricultural breadbaskets shift poleward given adaptive farmer behavior under climate change. Glob. Change Biol., in press, doi:10.1111/gcb.15868.

2021

Brás, T.A., J. Seixas, N. Carvalhais, and J. Jägermeyr, 2021: Severity of drought and heatwave crop losses tripled over the last five decades in Europe. Environ. Res. Lett., 16, no. 6, 065012, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abf004.

Falkendal, T., C. Otto, J. Schewe, J. Jägermeyr, M. Konar, M. Kummu, B. Watkins, and M.J. Puma, 2021: Grain export restrictions during COVID-19 risk food insecurity in many low- and middle-income countries. Nat. Food, 2, no. 1, 11-14, doi:10.1038/s43016-020-00211-7.

Liu, W., T. Ye, J. Jägermeyr, C. Müller, S. Chen, X. Liu, and P. Shi, 2021: Future climate change significantly alters interannual wheat yield variability over half of harvested areas. Environ. Res. Lett., 16, no. 9, 094045, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac1fbb.

Müller, C., J. Franke, J. Jägermeyr, A.C. Ruane, J. Elliott, E. Moyer, J. Heinke, P. Falloon, C. Folberth, L. Francois, T. Hank, R. Izaurralde, I. Jacquemin, W. Liu, S. Olin, T. Pugh, K. Williams, and F. Zabel, 2021: Exploring uncertainties in global crop yield projections in a large ensemble of crop models and CMIP5 and CMIP6 climate scenarios. Environ. Res. Lett., 16, no. 3, 034040, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abd8fc.

Ruane, A.C., M. Phillips, C. Müller, J. Elliott, J. Jägermeyr, A. Arneth, J. Balkovic, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, T. Iizumi, R.C. Izaurralde, N. Khabarov, P. Lawrence, W. Liu, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, C. Rosenzweig, G. Sakurai, E. Schmid, B. Sultan, X. Wang, A. de Wit, and H. Yang, 2021: Strong regional influence of climatic forcing datasets on global crop model ensembles. Agric. Forest Meteorol., 300, 108313, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108313.

Siderius, C., H. Biemans, D. Conway, W.W. Immerzeel, J. Jägermeyr, and B. Ahmad, 2021: Financial feasibility of water conservation in agriculture. Earth's Future, 9, no. 3, e2020EF001726, doi:10.1029/2020EF001726.

Wang, X., C. Müller, J. Elliot, N.D. Mueller, P. Ciais, J. Jägermeyr, J. Gerber, P. Dumas, C. Wang, H. Yang, L. Li, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, W. Liu, D. Makowski, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, A. Reddy, E. Schmid, S. Jeong, F. Zhou, and S. Piao, 2021: Global irrigation contribution to wheat and maize yield. Nat. Comm., 12, no. 1, 1235, doi:10.1038/s41467-021-21498-5.

Zabel, F., C. Müller, J. Elliott, S. Minoli, J. Jägermeyr, J.M. Schneider, J.A. Franke, E. Moyer, C. Folberth, M. Dury, L. Francois, W. Liu, T.A. Pugh, S. Olin, S.S. Rabin, W. Mauser, T. Hank, and A.C. Ruane, 2021: Large potential for crop production adaptation depends on available future varieties. Glob. Change Biol., 27, no. 16, 3870-3882, doi:10.1111/gcb.15649.

2020

Franke, J., C. Müller, J. Elliott, A.C. Ruane, J. Jägermeyr, A. Snyder, M. Dury, P. Falloon, C. Folberth, L. François, T. Hank, R.C. Izaurralde, I. Jacquemin, C. Jones, M. Li, W. Liu, S. Olin, M. Phillips, T.A.M. Pugh, A. Reddy, K. Williams, Z. Wang, F. Zabel, and E. Moyer, 2020: The GGCMI phase II emulators: Global gridded crop model responses to changes in CO2, temperature, water, and nitrogen (version 1.0). Geosci. Model Dev., 13, no. 9, 3995-4018, doi:10.5194/gmd-13-3995-2020.

Franke, J., C. Müller, J. Elliott, A. Ruane, J. Jägermeyr, J. Balkovic, P. Ciais, M. Dury, P. Falloon, C. Folberth, L. François, T. Hank, M. Hoffmann, C. Izaurralde, I. Jacquemin, C. Jones, N. Khabarov, M. Koch, M. Li, W. Liu, S. Olin, M. Phillips, T.A.M. Pugh, A. Reddy, X. Wang, K. Williams, F. Zabel, and E. Moyer, 2020: The GGCMI Phase II experiment: Global gridded crop model simulations under uniform changes in CO2, temperature, water, and nitrogen levels (protocol version 1.0). Geosci. Model Dev., 13, no. 5, 2315-2336, doi:10.5194/gmd-13-2315-2020.

Gerten, D., V. Heck, J. Jägermeyr, B.L. Bodirsky, I. Fetzer, M. Jalava, M. Kummu, W. Lucht, J. Rockström, S. Schaphoff, and H.J. Schellnhuber, 2020: Feeding ten billion people is possible within four terrestrial planetary boundaries. Nat. Sustain., 3, no. 3, 200-208, doi:10.1038/s41893-019-0465-1.

Huang, G., A.Y. Heokstra, M.S. Krol, A. Galindo, J. Jägermeyr, C. Yu, and R. Wang, 2020: Water-saving agriculture can deliver deep water cuts for China. Resour. Conserv. Recycl., 154, 104578, doi:10.1016/j.resconrec.2019.104578.

Jägermeyr, J., 2020: Agriculture's historic twin-challenge towards sustainable water use and food supply for all. Front. Sustain. Food Syst., 4, 35, doi:10.3389/fsufs.2020.00035.

Jägermeyr, J., A. Robock, J. Elliott, C. Müller, L. Xia, N. Khabarov, C. Folberth, E. Schmid, W. Liu, F. Zabel, S.S. Rabin, M.J. Puma, A.C. Heslin, J. Franke, I. Foster, S. Asseng, C.G. Bardeen, O.B. Toon, and C. Rosenzweig, 2020: A regional nuclear conflict would compromise global food security. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 117, no. 13, 7071-7081, doi:10.1073/pnas.1919049117.

Lange, S., J. Volkholz, T. Geiger, F. Zhao, I. Vega, T. Veldkamp, C.P.O. Reyer, L. Warszawski, V. Huber, J. Jägermeyr, J. Schewe, D.N. Bresch, M. Büchner, J. Chang, P. Ciais, M. Dury, K. Emanuel, C. Folberth, D. Gerten, S.N. Gosling, M. Grillakis, N. Hanasaki, A.-J. Henrot, T. Hickler, Y. Honda, A. Ito, N. Khabarov, A. Koutroulis, W. Liu, C. Müller, K. Nishina, S. Ostberg, H. Müller Schmied, S.I. Seneviratne, T. Stacke, J. Steinkamp, W. Thiery, Y. Wada, S. Willner, H. Yang, M. Yoshikawa, C. Yue, and K. Frieler, 2020: Projecting exposure to extreme climate impact events across six event categories and three spatial scales. Earth's Future, 8, no. 12, e2020EF001616, doi:10.1029/2020EF001616.

Schauberger, B., J. Jägermeyr, and C. Gornott, 2020: A systematic review of local to regional yield forecasting approaches and frequently used data resources. Eur. J. Agron., 120, 126153, doi:10.1016/j.eja.2020.126153.

Scherrer, K.J.N., C.S. Harrison, R.F. Heneghan, E. Galbraith, C.G. Bardeen, J. Coupe, J. Jägermeyr, N.S. Lovenduski, A. Luna, A. Robock, J. Stevens, S. Stevenson, O.B. Toon, and L. Xia, 2020: Marine wild-capture fisheries after nuclear war. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 117, no. 47, 29748-29758, doi:10.1073/pnas.2008256117.

Zhai, R., F. Tao, U. Lall, B. Fu, J. Elliott, and J. Jägermeyr, 2020: Larger drought and flood hazards and adverse impacts on population and economic productivity under 2.0 than 1.5°C warming. Earth's Future, 8, no. 7, e2019EF001398, doi:10.1029/2019EF001398.

2019

Brás, M.A., J. Jägermeyr, and J. Seixas, 2019: Exposure of the EU-28 food imports to extreme weather disasters in exporting countries. Food Secur., 11, no. 6, 1373-1393, doi:10.1007/s12571-019-00975-2.

Minoli, S., C. Müller, J. Elliott, A.C. Ruane, J. Jägermeyr, F. Zabel, M. Dury, C. Folberth, L. Francois, T. Hank, I. Jacquemin, W. Liu, S. Olin, and T.A.M. Pugh, 2019: Earth's Future, 7, no. 12, 1464-1480, doi:10.1029/2018EF001130.

Stenzel, F., D. Gerten, C. Werner, and J. Jägermeyr, 2019: Freshwater requirements of large-scale bioenergy plantations for limiting global warming to 1.5°C. Environ. Res. Lett., 14, no. 8, 084001, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab2b4b.

2018

Jägermeyr, J., and K. Frieler, 2018: Spatial variations in crop growing seasons pivotal to reproduce global fluctuations in maize and wheat yields. Sci. Adv., 4, no. 11, eaat4517, doi:10.1126/sciadv.aat4517.

2017

Frieler, K., S. Lange, F. Piontek, C.P.O. Reyer, J. Schewe, L. Warszawski, F. Zhao, L. Chini, S. Denvil, K. Emanuel, T. Geiger, K. Halladay, G. Hurtt, M. Mengel, D. Murakami, S. Ostberg, A. Popp, R. Riva, M. Stevanovic, T. Suzuki, J. Volkholz, E. Burke, P. Ciais, K. Ebi, T.D. Eddy, J. Elliott, E. Galbraith, S.N. Gosling, F. Hattermann, T. Hickler, J. Hinkel, C. Hof, V. Huber, J. Jägermeyr, V. Krysanova, R. Marcé, H. Müller Schmied, I. Mouratiadou, D. Pierson, D.P. Tittensor, R. Vautard, M. van Vliet, M.F. Biber, R.A. Betts, B.L. Bodirsky, D. Deryng, S. Frolking, C.D. Jones, H.K. Lotze, H. Lotze-Campen, R. Sahajpal, K. Thonicke, H. Tian, and Y. Yamagata, 2017: Assessing the impacts of 1.5°C global warming — Simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b). Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 4321-4345, doi:10.5194/gmd-10-4321-2017.

Kummu, M., M. Fader, D. Gerten, J.H.A. Guillaume, M. Jalava, J. Jägermeyr, S. Pfister, M. Porkka, S. Siebert, and O. Varis, 2017: Bringing it all together: Linking measures to secure nations' food supply. Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustain., 29, 98-117, doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2018.01.006.

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