Author Bibliographies

Publications by Joshua Elliott

Submitted / In Review

Folberth, C., J. Elliott, C. Müller, J. Balkovič, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, R.C. Izaurralde, C.D. Jones, N. Khabarov, W. Liu, A. Reddy, E. Schmid, R. Skalský, H. Yang, A. Arneth, P. Ciais, D. Deryng, P.J. Lawrence, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, A.C. Ruane, and X. Wang, 2017: Uncertainties in a global crop model ensemble: Effects of parameterization and setup harmonization on maize yield estimates and model performance. Environ. Model. Softw., submitted.

Ruane, A.C., J. Antle, J. Elliott, C. Folberth, G. Hoogenboom, D. Mason-D’Croz, C. Müller, C.H. Porter, M. Phillips, R. Raymundo, R. Sands, R. Valdivia, J. White, K. Wiebe, and C. Rosenzweig, 2017: Global and regional agricultural implications of +1.5 and +2.0°C warming. Glob. Environ. Change, submitted.


Elliott, J., M. Glotter, A.C. Ruane, K.J. Boote, J.L. Hatfield, J.W. Jones, C. Rosenzweig, L.A. Smith, and I. Foster, 2018: Characterizing agricultural impacts of recent large-scale US droughts and changing technology and management. Agric. Syst., 159, 275-281, doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2017.07.012.


Deryng, D., J. Elliott, C. Folberth, C. Müller, T.A.M. Pugh, K.J. Boote, D. Conway, A.C. Ruane, D. Gerten, J.W. Jones, N. Khabarov, Olin S., S. Schaphoff, E. Schmid, H. Yang, and C. Rosenzweig, 2017: How can CO2 help agriculture in the face of climate change? Science Journal for Kids, 2017, Aug. 15.

Frieler, K., S. Lange, F. Piontek, C.P.O. Reyer, J. Schewe, L. Warszawski, F. Zhao, L. Chini, S. Denvil, K. Emanuel, T. Geiger, K. Halladay, G. Hurtt, M. Mengel, D. Murakami, S. Ostberg, A. Popp, R. Riva, M. Stevanovic, T. Suzuki, J. Volkholz, E. Burke, P. Ciais, K. Ebi, T.D. Eddy, J. Elliott, E. Galbraith, S.N. Gosling, F. Hattermann, T. Hickler, J. Hinkel, C. Hof, V. Huber, J. Jägermeyr, V. Krysanova, R. Marcé, H. Müller Schmied, I. Mouratiadou, D. Pierson, D.P. Tittensor, R. Vautard, M. van Vliet, M.F. Biber, R.A. Betts, B.L. Bodirsky, D. Deryng, S. Frolking, C.D. Jones, H.K. Lotze, H. Lotze-Campen, R. Sahajpal, K. Thonicke, H. Tian, and Y. Yamagata, 2017: Assessing the impacts of 1.5°C global warming — Simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b). Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 4321-4345, doi:10.5194/gmd-10-4321-2017.

Frieler, K., B. Schauberger, A. Arneth, J. Balkovic, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, D. Deryng, J. Elliott, C. Folberth, N. Khabarov, C. Müller, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, S. Schaphoff, J. Schewe, E. Schmid, L. Warszawski, and A. Levermann, 2017: Understanding the weather signal in national crop-yield variability. Earth's Future, 5, no. 6, 605-616, doi:10.1002/2016EF000525.

Lopez, J.R., J.M. Winter, J. Elliott, A.C. Ruane, C.H. Porter, and G. Hoogenboom, 2017: Integrating growth stage deficit irrigation into a process based crop model. Agric. Forest Meteorol., 243, 84-92, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.05.001.

Müller, C., J. Elliott, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, A. Arneth, J. Balkovič, P. Ciais, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, M. Glotter, S. Hoek, T. Iizumi, R.C. Izaurralde, C. Jones, N. Khabarov, P. Lawrence, W. Liu, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, D. Ray, A. Reddy, C. Rosenzweig, A.C. Ruane, G. Sakurai, E. Schmid, R. Skalsky, C.X. Song, X. Wang, A. de Wit, and H. Yang, 2017: Global gridded crop model evaluation: Benchmarking, skills, deficiencies and implications. Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 1403-1422, doi:10.5194/gmd-10-1403-2017.

Porwollik, V., C. Müller, J. Elliott, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, T. Iizumi, D.K. Ray, A.C. Ruane, A. Arneth, J. Balkovič, P. Ciais, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, R.C. Izaurralde, C.D. Jones, N. Khabarov, P.J. Lawrence, W. Liu, T.A.M. Pugh, A. Reddy, G. Sakurai, E. Schmid, X. Wang, A. de Wit, and X. Wu, 2017: Spatial and temporal uncertainty of crop yield aggregations. Eur. J. Agron., 88, 10-21, doi:10.1016/j.eja.2016.08.006.

Ruane, A.C., C. Rosenzweig, S. Asseng, K.J. Boote, J. Elliott, F. Ewert, J.W. Jones, P. Martre, S. McDermid, C. Müller, A. Snyder, and P.J. Thorburn, 2017: An AgMIP framework for improved agricultural representation in IAMs. Environ. Res. Lett., 12, no. 12, 125003, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa8da6.

Zhao, C., B. Liu, S. Piao, X. Wang, D.B. Lobell, Y. Huang, M. Huang, Y. Yao, S. Bassu, P. Ciais, J.-L. Durand, J. Elliott, F. Ewert, I.A. Janssens, T. Li, E. Lin, Q. Liu, P. Martre, C. Müller, S. Peng, J. Peñuelas, A.C. Ruane, D. Wallach, T. Wang, D. Wu, Z. Liu, Y. Zhu, Z. Zhu, and S. Asseng, 2017: Temperature increase reduces global yields of major crops in four independent estimates. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 114, no. 35, 9326-9331, doi:10.1073/pnas.1701762114.


Deryng, D., J. Elliott, A.C. Ruane, C. Folberth, C. Müller, T.A.M. Pugh, E. Schmid, K.J. Boote, D. Conway, D. Gerten, J.W. Jones, N. Khabarov, S. Olin, S. Schaphoff, H. Yang, and C. Rosenzweig, 2016: Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity. Nature Clim. Change, 6, no. 8, 786-790, doi:10.1038/nclimate2995.

Glotter, M., and J. Elliott, 2016: Simulating US agriculture in a modern Dust Bowl drought. Nature Plants, 3, 16193, doi:10.1038/nplants.2016.193.

Glotter, M.J., A.C. Ruane, E.J. Moyer, and J.W. Elliott, 2016: Evaluating the reliability of reanalysis as a substitute for observational data in large-scale agricultural assessments. J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol., 55, no. 3, 579-594, doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0120.1.

Liu, B., S. Asseng, C. Müller, F. Ewert, J. Elliott, D.B. Lobell, P. Martre, A.C. Ruane, D. Wallach, J.W. Jones, C. Rosenzweig, P.K. Aggarwal, P.D. Alderman, J. Anothai, B. Basso, C. Biernath, D. Cammarano, A. Challinor, D. Deryng, G. De Sanctis, J. Doltra, E. Fereres, C. Folberth, M. Garcia-Vila, S. Gayler, G. Hoogenboom, L.A. Hunt, R.C. Izaurralde, M. Jabloun, C.D. Jones, K.C. Kersebaum, B.A. Kimball, A.-K. Koehler, S.N. Kumar, C. Nendel, G. O'Leary, J.E. Olesen, M.J. Ottman, T. Palosuo, P.V.V. Prasad, E. Priesack, T.A.M. Pugh, M. Reynolds, E.E. Rezaei, R.P. Rötter, E. Schmid, M.A. Semenov, I. Shcherbak, E. Stehfest, C.O. Stöckle, P. Stratonovitch, T. Streck, I. Supit, F. Tao, P. Thorburn, K. Waha, G.W. Wall, E. Wang, J.W. White, J. Wolf, Z. Zhao, and Y. Zhu, 2016: Similar negative impacts of temperature on global wheat yield estimated by three independent methods. Nature Clim. Change, 6, no. 12, 1130-1136, doi:10.1038/nclimate3115.

Pugh, T.A.M., C. Müller, J. Elliott, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, S. Olin, E. Schmid, and A. Arneth, 2016: Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change. Nature Commun., 7, 12608, doi:10.1038/ncomms12608.

Rosenzweig, C., J. Antle, and J. Elliott, 2016: Assessing impacts of climate change on food security worldwide. Eos, 97, no. 8, 11, doi:10.1029/2016EO047387.

Van Bussel, L.G.J., F. Ewert, G. Zhao, H. Hoffmann, A. Enders, D. Wallach, S. Asseng, G.A. Baigorria, B. Basso, C. Biernath, D. Cammarano, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, J. Constantin, J. Elliott, M. Glotter, F. Heinlein, K.-C. Kersebaum, C. Klein, C. Nendel, E. Priesack, H. Raynal, C.C. Romero, R.P. Rötter, X. Specka, and F. Tao, 2016: Spatial sampling of weather data for regional crop yield simulations. Agric. Forest Meteorol., 220, 101-115, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.01.014.


Elliott, J., and C. Müller, 2015: The AgMIP GRIDded Crop Modeling Initiative (AgGRID) and the Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison (GGCMI). In Handbook of Climate Change and Agroecosystems: The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Integrated Crop and Economic Assessments, Part 1. C. Rosenzweig and D. Hillel, Eds., ICP Series on Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation, and Mitigation Vol. 3. Imperial College Press, pp. 175-190, doi:10.1142/9781783265640_0007.

Elliott, J., C. Müller, D. Deryng, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, K.J. Boote, M. Büchner, I. Foster, M. Glotter, J. Heinke, T. Iizumi, R.C. Izaurralde, N.D. Mueller, D.K. Ray, C. Rosenzweig, A.C. Ruane, and J. Sheffield, 2015: The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison: Data and modeling protocols for Phase 1 (v1.0). Geosci. Model Dev., 8, 261-277, doi:10.5194/gmd-8-261-2015.

Frieler, K., A. Levermann, J. Elliott, J. Heinke, A. Arneth, M.F.P. Bierkens, P. Ciais, D.B. Clark, D. Deryng, P. Döll, P. Falloon, B. Fekete, C. Folberth, A.D. Friend, C. Gellhorn, S.N. Gosling, I. Haddeland, N. Khabarov, M. Lomas, Y. Masaki, K. Nishina, K. Neumann, T. Oki, R. Pavlick, A.C. Ruane, E. Schmid, C. Schmitz, T. Stacke, E. Stehfest, Q. Tang, D. Wisser, V. Huber, F. Piontek, L. Warszawski, J. Schewe, H. Lotze-Campen, and H.J. Schellnhuber, 2015: A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: Land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties. Earth Syst. Dyn., 6, 447-460, doi:10.5194/esd-6-447-2015.

Müller, C., J. Elliott, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, T.M. Pugh, and E. Schmid, 2015: Implications of climate mitigation for future agricultural production. Environ. Res. Lett., 10, no. 12, 125004, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125004.


Elliott, J., D. Deryng, C. Müller, K. Frieler, M. Konzmann, D. Gerten, M. Glotter, M. Flörke, Y. Wada, N. Best, S. Eisner, B.M. Fekete, C. Folberth, I. Foster, S.N. Gosling, I. Haddeland, N. Khabarov, F. Ludwig, Y. Masaki, S. Olin, C. Rosenzweig, A.C. Ruane, Y. Satoh, E. Schmid, T. Stacke, Q. Tang, and D. Wisser, 2014: Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 111, no. 9, 3239-3244, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222474110.

Elliott, J., D. Kelly, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, M. Glotter, K. Jhunjhnuwala, N. Best, M. Wilde, and I. Foster, 2014: The parallel system for integrating impact models and sectors (pSIMS). Environ. Model. Softw., 62, 509-516, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.04.008.

Nelson, G.C., H. Valin, R.D. Sands, P. Havlík, H. Ahammad, D. Deryng, J. Elliott, S. Fujimori, T. Hasegawa, E. Heyhoe, P. Kyle, M. Von Lampe, H. Lotze-Campen, D. Mason d’Croz, H. van Meijl, D. van der Mensbrugghe, C. Müller, A. Popp, R. Robertson, S. Robinson, E. Schmid, C. Schmitz, A. Tabeau, and D. Willenbockelo, 2014: Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 111, no. 9, 3274-3279, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222465110.

Piontek, F., C. Müller, T.A.M. Pugh, D.B. Clark, D. Deryng, J. Elliott, J. Colón González, M. Flörke, C. Folberth, W. Franssen, K. Frieler, A.D. Friend, S.N. Gosling, D. Hemming, N. Khabarov, H. Kim, M.R. Lomas, Y. Masaki, M. Mengel, A. Morse, K. Neumann, N. Nishin, S. Ostberg, R. Pavlick, A.C. Ruane, J. Schewe, E. Schmid, T. Stack, Q. Tang, Z.D. Tessler, A.M. Tompkins, L. Warszawski, D. Wisser, and H.J. Schellnhuber, 2014: Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 111, no. 9, 3233-3238, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222471110.

Rosenzweig, C., J. Elliott, D. Deryng, A.C. Ruane, C. Müller, A. Arneth, K.J. Boote, C. Folberth, M. Glotter, N. Khabarov, K. Neumann, F. Piontek, T.A.M. Pugh, E. Schmid, E. Stehfest, H. Yang, and J.W. Jones, 2014: Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 111, no. 9, 3268-3273, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222463110.

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