Publication Abstracts

Weaver et al. 2009

Weaver, C.P., X.-Z. Liang, J. Zhu, P.J. Adams, P. Amar, J. Avise, M. Caughey, J. Chen, R.C. Cohen, E. Cooter, J.P. Dawson, R. Gilliam, A. Gilliland, A.H. Goldstein, A. Grambsch, D. Grano, A. Guenther, W.I. Gustafson, R.A. Harley, S. He, B. Hemming, C. Hogrefe, H.-C. Huang, S.W. Hunt, D.J. Jacob, P.L. Kinney, K. Kunkel, J.-F. Lamarque, B. Lamb, N.K. Larkin, L.R. Leung, K.-J. Liao, J.-T. Lin, B.H. Lynn, K. Manomaiphiboon, C. Mass, D. McKenzie, L.J. Mickley, S.M. O'Neill, C. Nolte, S.N. Pandis, P.N. Racherla, C. Rosenzweig, A.G. Russell, E. Salathé, A.L. Steiner, E. Tagaris, Z. Tao, S. Tonse, C. Wiedinmyer, A. Williams, D.A. Winner, J.-H. Woo, S. Wu, and D.J. Wuebbles, 2009: A preliminary synthesis of modeled climate change impacts on U.S. regional ozone concentrations. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 90, 1843-1863, doi:10.1175/2009BAMS2568.1.

This paper provides a synthesis of results that have emerged from recent modeling studies of the potential sensitivity of U.S. regional ozone (O3) concentrations to global climate change (ca. 2050). This research has been carried out under the auspices of an ongoing U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) assessment effort to increase scientific understanding of the multiple complex interactions among climate, emissions, atmospheric chemistry, and air quality. The ultimate goal is to enhance the ability of air quality managers to consider global change in their decisions through improved characterization of the potential effects of global change on air quality, including O3. The results discussed here are interim, representing the first phase of the EPA assessment. The aim in this first phase was to consider the effects of climate change alone on air quality, without accompanying changes in anthropogenic emissions of precursor pollutants. Across all of the modeling experiments carried out by the different groups, simulated global climate change causes increases of a few to several parts per billion (ppb) in summertime mean maximum daily 8-h average O3 concentrations over substantial regions of the country. The different modeling experiments in general do not, however, simulate the same regional patterns of change. These differences seem to result largely from variations in the simulated patterns of changes in key meteorological drivers, such as temperature and surface insolation. How isoprene nitrate chemistry is represented in the different modeling systems is an additional critical factor in the simulated O3 response to climate change.

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BibTeX Citation

  author={Weaver, C. P. and Liang, X.-Z. and Zhu, J. and Adams, P. J. and Amar, P. and Avise, J. and Caughey, M. and Chen, J. and Cohen, R. C. and Cooter, E. and Dawson, J. P. and Gilliam, R. and Gilliland, A. and Goldstein, A. H. and Grambsch, A. and Grano, D. and Guenther, A. and Gustafson, W. I. and Harley, R. A. and He, S. and Hemming, B. and Hogrefe, C. and Huang, H.-C. and Hunt, S. W. and Jacob, D. J. and Kinney, P. L. and Kunkel, K. and Lamarque, J.-F. and Lamb, B. and Larkin, N. K. and Leung, L. R. and Liao, K.-J. and Lin, J.-T. and Lynn, B. H. and Manomaiphiboon, K. and Mass, C. and McKenzie, D. and Mickley, L. J. and O'Neill, S. M. and Nolte, C. and Pandis, S. N. and Racherla, P. N. and Rosenzweig, C. and Russell, A. G. and Salathé, E. and Steiner, A. L. and Tagaris, E. and Tao, Z. and Tonse, S. and Wiedinmyer, C. and Williams, A. and Winner, D. A. and Woo, J.-H. and Wu, S. and Wuebbles, D. J.},
  title={A preliminary synthesis of modeled climate change impacts on U.S. regional ozone concentrations},
  journal={Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc.},

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RIS Citation

ID  - we09000a
AU  - Weaver, C. P.
AU  - Liang, X.-Z.
AU  - Zhu, J.
AU  - Adams, P. J.
AU  - Amar, P.
AU  - Avise, J.
AU  - Caughey, M.
AU  - Chen, J.
AU  - Cohen, R. C.
AU  - Cooter, E.
AU  - Dawson, J. P.
AU  - Gilliam, R.
AU  - Gilliland, A.
AU  - Goldstein, A. H.
AU  - Grambsch, A.
AU  - Grano, D.
AU  - Guenther, A.
AU  - Gustafson, W. I.
AU  - Harley, R. A.
AU  - He, S.
AU  - Hemming, B.
AU  - Hogrefe, C.
AU  - Huang, H.-C.
AU  - Hunt, S. W.
AU  - Jacob, D. J.
AU  - Kinney, P. L.
AU  - Kunkel, K.
AU  - Lamarque, J.-F.
AU  - Lamb, B.
AU  - Larkin, N. K.
AU  - Leung, L. R.
AU  - Liao, K.-J.
AU  - Lin, J.-T.
AU  - Lynn, B. H.
AU  - Manomaiphiboon, K.
AU  - Mass, C.
AU  - McKenzie, D.
AU  - Mickley, L. J.
AU  - O'Neill, S. M.
AU  - Nolte, C.
AU  - Pandis, S. N.
AU  - Racherla, P. N.
AU  - Rosenzweig, C.
AU  - Russell, A. G.
AU  - Salathé, E.
AU  - Steiner, A. L.
AU  - Tagaris, E.
AU  - Tao, Z.
AU  - Tonse, S.
AU  - Wiedinmyer, C.
AU  - Williams, A.
AU  - Winner, D. A.
AU  - Woo, J.-H.
AU  - Wu, S.
AU  - Wuebbles, D. J.
PY  - 2009
TI  - A preliminary synthesis of modeled climate change impacts on U.S. regional ozone concentrations
JA  - Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc.
VL  - 90
SP  - 1843
EP  - 1863
DO  - 10.1175/2009BAMS2568.1
ER  -

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