Publication Abstracts

Wanders and Wada 2015

Wanders, N., and Y. Wada, 2015: Decadal predictability of river discharge with climate oscillations over the 20th and early 21st century. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, no. 24, 10689-10695, doi:10.1002/2015GL066929.

Long-term hydrological forecasts are important to increase our resilience and preparedness to extreme hydrological events. The skill in these forecasts is still limited due to large uncertainties inherent in hydrological models and poor predictability of long-term meteorological conditions. Here we show that strong (lagged) correlations exist between four different major climate oscillation modes and modeled and observed discharge anomalies over a 100 year period. The strongest correlations are found between the El Niño-Southern Oscillation signal and river discharge anomalies all year round, while North Atlantic Oscillation and Antarctic Oscillation time series are strongly correlated with winter discharge anomalies. The correlation signal is significant for periods up to 5 years for some regions, indicating a high added value of this information for long-term hydrological forecasting. The results suggest that long-term hydrological forecasting could be significantly improved by including the climate oscillation signals and thus improve our preparedness for hydrological extremes in the near future.

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BibTeX Citation

@article{wa09500h,
  author={Wanders, N. and Wada, Y.},
  title={Decadal predictability of river discharge with climate oscillations over the 20th and early 21st century},
  year={2015},
  journal={Geophys. Res. Lett.},
  volume={42},
  number={24},
  pages={10689--10695},
  doi={10.1002/2015GL066929},
}

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RIS Citation

TY  - JOUR
ID  - wa09500h
AU  - Wanders, N.
AU  - Wada, Y.
PY  - 2015
TI  - Decadal predictability of river discharge with climate oscillations over the 20th and early 21st century
JA  - Geophys. Res. Lett.
VL  - 42
IS  - 24
SP  - 10689
EP  - 10695
DO  - 10.1002/2015GL066929
ER  -

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