Publication Abstracts

Schnell et al. 2016

Schnell, J.L., M.J. Prather, B. Josse, V. Naik, L.W. Horowitz, G. Zeng, D.T. Shindell, and G. Faluvegi, 2016: Effect of climate change on surface ozone over North America, Europe, and East Asia. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, no. 7, 3509-3518, doi:10.1002/2016GL068060.

The effect of future climate change on surface ozone over North America, Europe, and East Asia is evaluated using present-day (2000s) and future (2100s) hourly surface ozone simulated by four global models. Future climate follows RCP8.5, while methane and anthropogenic ozone precursors are fixed at year 2000 levels. Climate change shifts the seasonal surface ozone peak to earlier in the year and increases the amplitude of the annual cycle. Increases in mean summertime and high-percentile ozone are generally found in polluted environments, while decreases are found in clean environments. We propose that climate change augments the efficiency of precursor emissions to generate surface ozone in polluted regions, thus reducing precursor export to neighboring downwind locations. Even with constant biogenic emissions, climate change causes the largest ozone increases at high percentiles. In most cases, air quality extreme episodes become larger and contain higher ozone levels relative to the rest of the distribution.

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BibTeX Citation

@article{sc02600k,
  author={Schnell, J. L. and Prather, M. J. and Josse, B. and Naik, V. and Horowitz, L. W. and Zeng, G. and Shindell, D. T. and Faluvegi, G.},
  title={Effect of climate change on surface ozone over North America, Europe, and East Asia},
  year={2016},
  journal={Geophys. Res. Lett.},
  volume={43},
  number={7},
  pages={3509--3518},
  doi={10.1002/2016GL068060},
}

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RIS Citation

TY  - JOUR
ID  - sc02600k
AU  - Schnell, J. L.
AU  - Prather, M. J.
AU  - Josse, B.
AU  - Naik, V.
AU  - Horowitz, L. W.
AU  - Zeng, G.
AU  - Shindell, D. T.
AU  - Faluvegi, G.
PY  - 2016
TI  - Effect of climate change on surface ozone over North America, Europe, and East Asia
JA  - Geophys. Res. Lett.
VL  - 43
IS  - 7
SP  - 3509
EP  - 3518
DO  - 10.1002/2016GL068060
ER  -

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