Publication Abstracts

Rosenzweig et al. 2002

Rosenzweig, C., F. Tubiello, R. Goldberg, E. Mills, and J. Bloomfield, 2002: Increased crop damage in the U.S. from excess precipitation under climate change. Glob. Environ. Change A, 12, 197-202, doi:10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00008-0.

Recent flooding and heavy precipitation events in the U.S. and worldwide have caused great damage to crop production. If the frequency of these weather extremes were to increase in the near future, as recent trends for the U.S. indicate and as projected by global climate models (e.g., US National Assessment, 2000; IPCC, 2001), the cost of crop losses in the coming decades could rise dramatically. Yet current assessments of the impacts of climate change on agriculture have not quantified the negative effects on crop production from increased heavy precipitation and flooding (Reilly et al., 2001). In this work, we modify a dynamic crop model in order to simulate one important effect of heavy precipitation on crop growth, plant damage from excess soil moisture. We compute that U.S. corn production losses due to this factor, already significant under current climate, may double during the next thirty years, causing additional damages totaling an estimated $3 billion per year. These costs may either be borne directly by those impacted or transferred to governmental insurance and disaster relief programs.

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BibTeX Citation

  author={Rosenzweig, C. and Tubiello, F. and Goldberg, R. and Mills, E. and Bloomfield, J.},
  title={Increased crop damage in the U.S. from excess precipitation under climate change},
  journal={Global Environmental Change A},

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RIS Citation

ID  - ro02200i
AU  - Rosenzweig, C.
AU  - Tubiello, F.
AU  - Goldberg, R.
AU  - Mills, E.
AU  - Bloomfield, J.
PY  - 2002
TI  - Increased crop damage in the U.S. from excess precipitation under climate change
JA  - Glob. Environ. Change A
JO  - Global Environmental Change A
VL  - 12
SP  - 197
EP  - 202
DO  - 10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00008-0
ER  -

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