Publication Abstracts

Nóia Júnior et al. 2023

Nóia Júnior, R.S., J.-C. Deswarte, J.-P. Cohan, P. Martre, M. Van der Velde, R. Lecerf, H. Webber, F. Ewert, A.C. Ruane, G.A. Slafer, and S. Asseng, 2023: The extreme 2016 wheat yield failure in France. Glob. Change Biol., 29, no. 11, 3130-3146, doi:10.1111/gcb.16662.

France suffered, in 2016, the most extreme wheat yield decline in recent history, with some districts losing 55% yield. To attribute causes, we combined the largest coherent detailed wheat field experimental dataset with statistical and crop model techniques, climate information, and yield physiology. The 2016 yield was composed of up to 40% fewer grains that were up to 30% lighter than expected across eight research stations in France. The flowering stage was affected by prolonged cloud cover and heavy rainfall when 31% of the loss in grain yield was incurred from reduced solar radiation and 19% from floret damage. Grain filling was also affected as 26% of grain yield loss was caused by soil anoxia, 11% by fungal foliar diseases, and 10% by ear blight. Compounding climate effects caused the extreme yield decline. The likelihood of these compound factors recurring under future climate change is estimated to change with a higher frequency of extremely low wheat yields.

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BibTeX Citation

@article{no09100t,
  author={Nóia Júnior, R. S. and Deswarte, J.-C. and Cohan, J.-P. and Martre, P. and Van der Velde, M. and Lecerf, R. and Webber, H. and Ewert, F. and Ruane, A. C. and Slafer, G. A. and Asseng, S.},
  title={The extreme 2016 wheat yield failure in France},
  year={2023},
  journal={Glob. Change Biol.},
  volume={29},
  number={11},
  pages={3130--3146},
  doi={10.1111/gcb.16662},
}

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RIS Citation

TY  - JOUR
ID  - no09100t
AU  - Nóia Júnior, R. S.
AU  - Deswarte, J.-C.
AU  - Cohan, J.-P.
AU  - Martre, P.
AU  - Van der Velde, M.
AU  - Lecerf, R.
AU  - Webber, H.
AU  - Ewert, F.
AU  - Ruane, A. C.
AU  - Slafer, G. A.
AU  - Asseng, S.
PY  - 2023
TI  - The extreme 2016 wheat yield failure in France
JA  - Glob. Change Biol.
VL  - 29
IS  - 11
SP  - 3130
EP  - 3146
DO  - 10.1111/gcb.16662
ER  -

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