Publication Abstracts

Liu et al. 2023

Liu, K., M.T. Harrison, H. Yan, D.L. Liu, H. Meinke, G. Hoogenboom, B. Wang, B. Peng, K. Guan, J. Jägermeyr, E. Wang, F. Zhang, X. Yin, S. Archontoulis, L. Nie, A. Badea, J. Man, D Wallach, J. Zhao, A. Benjumea, Y. Zhang, W. Wang, S. Fahad, F. Tao, Z. Zhang, R. Rötter, Y. Yuan, M. Zhu, P. Dai, J. Nie, Y. Yang, X. Tian, and M. Zhou, 2023: Silver lining to a climate crisis in multiple prospects for alleviating crop waterlogging under future climates. Nat. Commun., 14, 765, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-36129-4.

Extreme weather events threaten food security, yet global assessments of impacts caused by crop waterlogging are rare. Here we first develop a paradigm that distils common stress patterns across environments, genotypes and climate horizons. Second, we embed improved process-based understanding into a farming systems model to discern changes in global crop waterlogging under future climates. Third, we develop avenues for adapting cropping systems to waterlogging contextualised by environment. We find that yield penalties caused by waterlogging increase from 3-11% historically to 10-20% by 2080, with penalties reflecting a trade-off between the duration of waterlogging and the timing of waterlogging relative to crop stage. We document greater potential for waterlogging-tolerant genotypes in environments with longer temperate growing seasons (e.g., UK, France, Russia, China), compared with environments with higher annualised ratios of evapotranspiration to precipitation (e.g., Australia). Under future climates, altering sowing time and adoption of waterlogging-tolerant genotypes reduces yield penalties by 18%, while earlier sowing of winter genotypes alleviates waterlogging by 8%. We highlight the serendipitous outcome wherein waterlogging stress patterns under present conditions are likely to be similar to those in the future, suggesting that adaptations for future climates could be designed using stress patterns realised today.

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BibTeX Citation

  author={Liu, K. and Harrison, M. T. and Yan, H. and Liu, D. L. and Meinke, H. and Hoogenboom, G. and Wang, B. and Peng, B. and Guan, K. and Jägermeyr, J. and Wang, E. and Zhang, F. and Yin, X. and Archontoulis, S. and Nie, L. and Badea, A. and Man, J. and Wallach, D and Zhao, J. and Benjumea, A. and Zhang, Y. and Wang, W. and Fahad, S. and Tao, F. and Zhang, Z. and Rötter, R. and Yuan, Y. and Zhu, M. and Dai, P. and Nie, J. and Yang, Y. and Tian, X. and Zhou, M.},
  title={Silver lining to a climate crisis in multiple prospects for alleviating crop waterlogging under future climates},
  journal={Nat. Commun.},

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RIS Citation

ID  - li03310d
AU  - Liu, K.
AU  - Harrison, M. T.
AU  - Yan, H.
AU  - Liu, D. L.
AU  - Meinke, H.
AU  - Hoogenboom, G.
AU  - Wang, B.
AU  - Peng, B.
AU  - Guan, K.
AU  - Jägermeyr, J.
AU  - Wang, E.
AU  - Zhang, F.
AU  - Yin, X.
AU  - Archontoulis, S.
AU  - Nie, L.
AU  - Badea, A.
AU  - Man, J.
AU  - Wallach, D
AU  - Zhao, J.
AU  - Benjumea, A.
AU  - Zhang, Y.
AU  - Wang, W.
AU  - Fahad, S.
AU  - Tao, F.
AU  - Zhang, Z.
AU  - Rötter, R.
AU  - Yuan, Y.
AU  - Zhu, M.
AU  - Dai, P.
AU  - Nie, J.
AU  - Yang, Y.
AU  - Tian, X.
AU  - Zhou, M.
PY  - 2023
TI  - Silver lining to a climate crisis in multiple prospects for alleviating crop waterlogging under future climates
JA  - Nat. Commun.
VL  - 14
SP  - 765
DO  - 10.1038/s41467-023-36129-4
ER  -

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