Publication Abstracts

Kapetanaki and Rosenzweig 1997

Kapetanaki, G., and C. Rosenzweig, 1997: Impact of climate change on maize yield in central and northern Greece: A simulation study with CERES-Maize. Mitig. Adapt. Strategies Glob. Change, 1, 251-271, doi:10.1007/BF00517806.

The potential impacts of climate change on the phenology and yield of two maize varieties in Greece were studied. Three sites representing the central and northern agricultural regions were selected: Karditsa, Naoussa and Xanthi. The CERES-Maize model, embedded in the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT 3.0), was used for the crop simulations, with current and possible future management practices. Equilibrium doubled CO2 climate change scenarios were derived from the GISS, GFDL, and UKMO general circulation models (GCMs); a transient scenario was developed from the GISS GCM transient run A. These scenarios predict consistent increases in air temperature, small increases in solar radiation and precipitation changes that vary considerably over the study regions in Greece. Physiological effects of CO2 on crop growth and yield were simulated. Under present management practices, the climate change scenarios generally resulted in decreases in maize yield due to reduced duration of the growing period at all sites. Adaptation analyses showed that mitigation of climate change effects may be achieved through earlier sowing dates and the use of new maize varieties. Varieties with higher kernel-filling rates, currently restricted to the central regions, could be extended to the northern regions of Greece. In the central regions, new maize varieties with longer grain-filling periods might be needed.

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BibTeX Citation

@article{ka02000x,
  author={Kapetanaki, G. and Rosenzweig, C.},
  title={Impact of climate change on maize yield in central and northern Greece: A simulation study with CERES-Maize},
  year={1997},
  journal={Mitig. Adapt. Strategies Glob. Change},
  volume={1},
  pages={251--271},
  doi={10.1007/BF00517806},
}

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RIS Citation

TY  - JOUR
ID  - ka02000x
AU  - Kapetanaki, G.
AU  - Rosenzweig, C.
PY  - 1997
TI  - Impact of climate change on maize yield in central and northern Greece: A simulation study with CERES-Maize
JA  - Mitig. Adapt. Strategies Glob. Change
VL  - 1
SP  - 251
EP  - 271
DO  - 10.1007/BF00517806
ER  -

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