Publication Abstracts

Horton et al. 2008

Horton, R., C. Herweijer, C. Rosenzweig, J.P. Liu, V. Gornitz, and A.C. Ruane, 2008: Sea level rise projections for current generation CGCMs based on the semi-empirical method. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L02715, doi:10.1029/2007GL032486.

The semi-empirical relationship between global surface air temperature and mean sea level first developed by Rahmstorf is here applied to the latest generation of Coupled Global Climate Models (CGCMs) used for the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Our results produce a broader range of sea level rise projections, especially at the higher end, than outlined in IPCC AR4. The range of sea level rise results is CGCM and emissions-scenario dependent, and not sensitive to initial conditions or how the data are filtered temporally. Both the IPCC AR4 and the semi-empirical sea level rise projections described here are likely to underestimate future sea level rise if recent trends in the polar regions accelerate.

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BibTeX Citation

@article{ho05300q,
  author={Horton, R. and Herweijer, C. and Rosenzweig, C. and Liu, J. P. and Gornitz, V. and Ruane, A. C.},
  title={Sea level rise projections for current generation CGCMs based on the semi-empirical method},
  year={2008},
  journal={Geophys. Res. Lett.},
  volume={35},
  pages={L02715},
  doi={10.1029/2007GL032486},
}

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RIS Citation

TY  - JOUR
ID  - ho05300q
AU  - Horton, R.
AU  - Herweijer, C.
AU  - Rosenzweig, C.
AU  - Liu, J. P.
AU  - Gornitz, V.
AU  - Ruane, A. C.
PY  - 2008
TI  - Sea level rise projections for current generation CGCMs based on the semi-empirical method
JA  - Geophys. Res. Lett.
VL  - 35
SP  - L02715
DO  - 10.1029/2007GL032486
ER  -

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