Publication Abstracts

Horton et al. 2015

Horton, R.M., E.D. Coffel, J.M. Winter, and D.A. Bader, 2015: Projected changes in extreme temperature events based on the NARCCAP model suite. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, no. 18, 7722-7731, doi:10.1002/2015GL064914.

Once-per-year maximum temperature extremes in NARCCAP are projected to increase more (less) than mean daily maximum summer temperatures over much of the eastern (western) United States. In contrast, the models almost everywhere project greater warming of once-per-year minimum temperatures as compared to mean daily minimum winter temperatures. Under projected changes associated with extremes of the temperature distribution, Baltimore's maximum temperature that was met or exceeded once-per-year historically is projected to occur 17 times per season by mid-century, a 28% increase relative to projections based on summer mean daily maximum temperature change. Under the same approach, historical once-per-year cold events in Baltimore are projected to occur once-per-decade. The models are generally able to capture observed geopotential height anomalies associated with temperature extremes in two subregions. Projected changes in extreme temperature events cannot be explained by lower boundary conditions as reflected by soil moisture anomalies or snow water equivalent.

Export citation: [ BibTeX ] [ RIS ]

BibTeX Citation

@article{ho03600l,
  author={Horton, R. M. and Coffel, E. D. and Winter, J. M. and Bader, D. A.},
  title={Projected changes in extreme temperature events based on the NARCCAP model suite},
  year={2015},
  journal={Geophys. Res. Lett.},
  volume={42},
  number={18},
  pages={7722--7731},
  doi={10.1002/2015GL064914},
}

[ Close ]

RIS Citation

TY  - JOUR
ID  - ho03600l
AU  - Horton, R. M.
AU  - Coffel, E. D.
AU  - Winter, J. M.
AU  - Bader, D. A.
PY  - 2015
TI  - Projected changes in extreme temperature events based on the NARCCAP model suite
JA  - Geophys. Res. Lett.
VL  - 42
IS  - 18
SP  - 7722
EP  - 7731
DO  - 10.1002/2015GL064914
ER  -

[ Close ]

➤ Return to 2015 Publications

➤ Return to Publications Homepage