Publication Abstracts
Hansen et al. 1987
Hansen, J., A. Lacis, D. Rind, G. Russell, I. Fung, and S. Lebedeff, 1987: Evidence for future warming: How large and when? In The Greenhouse Effect, Climate Change, and U.S. Forests. W. Shands and J. Hoffman, Eds., The Conservation Foundation, pp. 57-76.
A wide range of evidence confirma a general understanding of the "greenhouse" mechanism. Climate models and empirical evidence from past climate changes suggest a cllmate sensitivity for doubled atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) that agrres with the estimate of 3±1.6°C (5.4±2.7°F) by committees of the National Academy of Sciencs. Recent rapid increeases osf atmnospheric trace gases also have accelerated the greenhouse forcing of the climate system. An experiment using a three-dimenaional global climate model in which CO2 and other trace gases increaae at the rate observed !rom 1958 to 1984 and at similar rates into the future, showsa global temperatures inching above the level of natural varlability by about 1990, followed by a trend of rapidly rising temnperatures.
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BibTeX Citation
@inbook{ha07020z,
author={Hansen, J. and Lacis, A. and Rind, D. and Russell, G. and Fung, I. and Lebedeff, S.},
editor={Shands, W. and Hoffman, J.},
title={Evidence for future warming: How large and when?},
booktitle={The Greenhouse Effect, Climate Change, and U.S. Forests},
year={1987},
pages={57--76},
publisher={The Conservation Foundation},
address={Washington, D.C.},
}
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RIS Citation
TY - CHAP ID - ha07020z AU - Hansen, J. AU - Lacis, A. AU - Rind, D. AU - Russell, G. AU - Fung, I. AU - Lebedeff, S. ED - Shands, W. ED - Hoffman, J. PY - 1987 TI - Evidence for future warming: How large and when? BT - The Greenhouse Effect, Climate Change, and U.S. Forests SP - 57 EP - 76 PB - The Conservation Foundation CY - Washington, D.C. ER -
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