Publication Abstracts

Hall and Hereid 2015

Hall, T.M., and K. Hereid, 2015: The frequency and duration of U.S. hurricane droughts. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, no. 9, 3482-3485, doi:10.1002/2015GL063652.

As of the end of the 2014 hurricane season, the U.S. has experienced no major hurricane landfall since Hurricane Wilma in 2005, a drought that currently stands at 9 years. Here we use a stochastic tropical cyclone model to calculate the mean waiting time for multiyear landfall droughts. We estimate that the mean time to wait for a 9 year drought is 177 years. We also find that the average probability of ending the drought with a major landfall in the next year is 0.39 and is independent of the drought duration, as one would expect for a Bernoulli process.

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BibTeX Citation

@article{ha03710r,
  author={Hall, T. M. and Hereid, K.},
  title={The frequency and duration of U.S. hurricane droughts},
  year={2015},
  journal={Geophys. Res. Lett.},
  volume={42},
  number={9},
  pages={3482--3485},
  doi={10.1002/2015GL063652},
}

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RIS Citation

TY  - JOUR
ID  - ha03710r
AU  - Hall, T. M.
AU  - Hereid, K.
PY  - 2015
TI  - The frequency and duration of U.S. hurricane droughts
JA  - Geophys. Res. Lett.
VL  - 42
IS  - 9
SP  - 3482
EP  - 3485
DO  - 10.1002/2015GL063652
ER  -

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