Publication Abstracts

Hansen and Sato 2001

Hansen, J.E., and M. Sato, 2001: Trends of measured climate forcing agents. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 98, 14778-14783, doi:10.1073/pnas.261553698.

The growth rate of climate forcing by measured greenhouse gases peaked near 1980 at almost 5 W/m2 per century. This growth rate has since declined to ∼3 W/m2 per century, largely because of cooperative international actions. We argue that trends can be reduced to the level needed for the moderate "alternative" climate scenario (∼2 W/m2 per century for the next 50 years) by means of concerted actions that have other benefits, but the forcing reductions are not automatic "co-benefits" of actions that slow CO2 emissions. Current trends of climate forcings by aerosols remain very uncertain. Nevertheless, practical constraints on changes in emission levels suggest that global warming at a rate +0.15±0.05°C per decade will occur over the next several decades.

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BibTeX Citation

@article{ha03300x,
  author={Hansen, J. E. and Sato, M.},
  title={Trends of measured climate forcing agents},
  year={2001},
  journal={Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci.},
  volume={98},
  pages={14778--14783},
  doi={10.1073/pnas.261553698},
}

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RIS Citation

TY  - JOUR
ID  - ha03300x
AU  - Hansen, J. E.
AU  - Sato, M.
PY  - 2001
TI  - Trends of measured climate forcing agents
JA  - Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci.
VL  - 98
SP  - 14778
EP  - 14783
DO  - 10.1073/pnas.261553698
ER  -

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