Publication Abstracts

González et al. 2019

González, J.E., L. Ortiz, B.K. Smith, N. Devineni, B. Colle, J.F. Booth, A. Ravindranath, L. Rivera, R. Horton, K. Towey, Y. Kushnir, D. Manley, D. Bader, and C. Rosenzweig, 2019: New York City Panel on Climate Change 2019 Report Chapter 1: New Methods for Assessing Extreme Temperatures, Heavy Downpours, and Drought. Ann. New York Acad. Sci., 1439, 30-70, doi:10.1111/nyas.14007.

This New York City Panel on Climate Change (NPCC3) chapter builds on the projections developed by the second New York City Panel on Climate Change (NPCC2) (Horton et al., 2015). It confirms NPCC2 projections as those of record for the City of New York, presents new methodology related to climate extremes, and describes new methods for developing the next generation of climate projections for the New York metropolitan region. These may be used by the City of New York as it continues to develop flexible adaptation pathways to cope with climate change. The main topics of the climate science chapter are:

(1) Comparison of observed temperature and precipitation trends to NPCC2 2015 projections.

The focus of NPCC3 is on high-risk events involving extreme temperatures, extreme precipitation, and drought. Current trends are presented using historical climate records of high temperature, cold snaps, humidity, and extreme precipitation for the New York metropolitan region. The geographical span of the New York metropolitan region considered here includes, in addition to New York City, adjacent sections of New Jersey such as Newark, Jersey City and Elizabeth, as well as other nearby locations in New York such as Yonkers and Long Island. Historical records of droughts in the Delaware watershed region are also examined. Each climate extreme is analyzed for detection of current trends, and future projections are updated for high-temperature extremes as a test of new methods that could be utilized by NPCC4.

These represent finer temporal and spatial resolutions thatmay be of practical use to key stakeholders in New York City for planning purposes and/or emergency responses. They include local projections of extreme heat and demonstrate the role of the heterogeneous landscape of the city in each process (e.g., how the urban heat island (UHI) affects city neighborhoods differently). Each section of the chapter presents definitions, baselines, methods, and projections, along with uncertainties and recommendations for future work.

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BibTeX Citation

@article{go02600k,
  author={González, J. E. and Ortiz, L. and Smith, B. K. and Devineni, N. and Colle, B. and Booth, J. F. and Ravindranath, A. and Rivera, L. and Horton, R. and Towey, K. and Kushnir, Y. and Manley, D. and Bader, D. and Rosenzweig, C.},
  editor={Rosenzweig, C. and Solecki, W.},
  title={New York City Panel on Climate Change 2019 Report Chapter 1: New Methods for Assessing Extreme Temperatures, Heavy Downpours, and Drought},
  year={2019},
  journal={Ann. New York Acad. Sci.},
  volume={1439},
  pages={30--70},
  doi={10.1111/nyas.14007},
}

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RIS Citation

TY  - CHAP
ID  - go02600k
AU  - González, J. E.
AU  - Ortiz, L.
AU  - Smith, B. K.
AU  - Devineni, N.
AU  - Colle, B.
AU  - Booth, J. F.
AU  - Ravindranath, A.
AU  - Rivera, L.
AU  - Horton, R.
AU  - Towey, K.
AU  - Kushnir, Y.
AU  - Manley, D.
AU  - Bader, D.
AU  - Rosenzweig, C.
ED  - Rosenzweig, C.
ED  - Solecki, W.
PY  - 2019
TI  - New York City Panel on Climate Change 2019 Report Chapter 1: New Methods for Assessing Extreme Temperatures, Heavy Downpours, and Drought
JA  - Ann. New York Acad. Sci.
VL  - 1439
SP  - 30
EP  - 70
DO  - 10.1111/nyas.14007
ER  -

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