Publication Abstracts

Gasson et al. 2014

Gasson, E., D.J. Lunt, R. DeConto, A. Goldner, M. Heinemann, M. Huber, A.N. LeGrande, D. Pollard, N. Sagoo, M. Siddall, A. Winguth, and P.J. Valdes, 2014: Uncertainties in the modelled CO2 threshold for Antarctic glaciation. Clim. Past, 10, 451-466, doi:10.5194/cp-10-451-2014.

A frequently cited atmospheric CO2 threshold for the onset of Antarctic glaciation of ~780 ppmv is based on the study of DeConto and Pollard (2003) using an ice sheet model and the GENESIS climate model. Proxy records suggest that atmospheric CO2 concentrations passed through this threshold across the Eocene-Oligocene transition ~34 Ma. However, atmospheric CO2 concentrations may have been close to this threshold earlier than this transition, which is used by some to suggest the possibility of Antarctic ice sheets during the Eocene. Here we investigate the climate model dependency of the threshold for Antarctic glaciation by performing offline ice sheet model simulations using the climate from 7 different climate models with Eocene boundary conditions (HadCM3L, CCSM3, CESM1.0, GENESIS, FAMOUS, ECHAM5 and GISS_ER). These climate simulations are sourced from a number of independent studies, and as such the boundary conditions, which are poorly constrained during the Eocene, are not identical between simulations. The results of this study suggest that the atmospheric CO2 threshold for Antarctic glaciation is highly dependent on the climate model used and the climate model configuration. A large discrepancy between the climate model and ice sheet model grids for some simulations leads to a strong sensitivity to the lapse rate parameter.

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BibTeX Citation

@article{ga08100s,
  author={Gasson, E. and Lunt, D. J. and DeConto, R. and Goldner, A. and Heinemann, M. and Huber, M. and LeGrande, A. N. and Pollard, D. and Sagoo, N. and Siddall, M. and Winguth, A. and Valdes, P. J.},
  title={Uncertainties in the modelled CO2 threshold for Antarctic glaciation},
  year={2014},
  journal={Clim. Past},
  volume={10},
  pages={451--466},
  doi={10.5194/cp-10-451-2014},
}

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RIS Citation

TY  - JOUR
ID  - ga08100s
AU  - Gasson, E.
AU  - Lunt, D. J.
AU  - DeConto, R.
AU  - Goldner, A.
AU  - Heinemann, M.
AU  - Huber, M.
AU  - LeGrande, A. N.
AU  - Pollard, D.
AU  - Sagoo, N.
AU  - Siddall, M.
AU  - Winguth, A.
AU  - Valdes, P. J.
PY  - 2014
TI  - Uncertainties in the modelled CO2 threshold for Antarctic glaciation
JA  - Clim. Past
VL  - 10
SP  - 451
EP  - 466
DO  - 10.5194/cp-10-451-2014
ER  -

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