Publication Abstracts

Eyring et al. 2019

Eyring, V., P.M. Cox, G.M. Flato, P.J. Gleckler, G. Abramowitz, P. Caldwell, W.D. Collins, B.K. Gier, A.D. Hall, F.M. Hoffman, G.C. Hurtt, A. Jahn, C.D. Jones, S.A. Klein, J.P. Krasting, L. Kwiatkowski, R. Lorenz, E. Maloney, G.A. Meehl, A.G. Pendergrass, R. Pincus, A.C. Ruane, J.L. Russell, B.M. Sanderson, B.D. Santer, S.C. Sherwood, I.R. Simpson, R.J. Stouffer, and M.S. Williamson, 2019: Taking climate model evaluation to the next level. Nat. Clim. Change, 9, no. 2, 102-110, doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0355-y.

Earth system models are complex and represent a large number of processes, resulting in a persistent spread across climate projections for a given future scenario. Owing to different model performances against observations and the lack of independence among models, there is now evidence that giving equal weight to each available model projection is suboptimal. This Perspective discusses newly developed tools that facilitate a more rapid and comprehensive evaluation of model simulations with observations, process-based emergent constraints that are a promising way to focus evaluation on the observations most relevant to climate projections, and advanced methods for model weighting. These approaches are needed to distil the most credible information on regional climate changes, impacts, and risks for stakeholders and policy-makers.

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BibTeX Citation

  author={Eyring, V. and Cox, P. M. and Flato, G. M. and Gleckler, P. J. and Abramowitz, G. and Caldwell, P. and Collins, W. D. and Gier, B. K. and Hall, A. D. and Hoffman, F. M. and Hurtt, G. C. and Jahn, A. and Jones, C. D. and Klein, S. A. and Krasting, J. P. and Kwiatkowski, L. and Lorenz, R. and Maloney, E. and Meehl, G. A. and Pendergrass, A. G. and Pincus, R. and Ruane, A. C. and Russell, J. L. and Sanderson, B. M. and Santer, B. D. and Sherwood, S. C. and Simpson, I. R. and Stouffer, R. J. and Williamson, M. S.},
  title={Taking climate model evaluation to the next level},
  journal={Nat. Clim. Change},

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RIS Citation

ID  - ey02000c
AU  - Eyring, V.
AU  - Cox, P. M.
AU  - Flato, G. M.
AU  - Gleckler, P. J.
AU  - Abramowitz, G.
AU  - Caldwell, P.
AU  - Collins, W. D.
AU  - Gier, B. K.
AU  - Hall, A. D.
AU  - Hoffman, F. M.
AU  - Hurtt, G. C.
AU  - Jahn, A.
AU  - Jones, C. D.
AU  - Klein, S. A.
AU  - Krasting, J. P.
AU  - Kwiatkowski, L.
AU  - Lorenz, R.
AU  - Maloney, E.
AU  - Meehl, G. A.
AU  - Pendergrass, A. G.
AU  - Pincus, R.
AU  - Ruane, A. C.
AU  - Russell, J. L.
AU  - Sanderson, B. M.
AU  - Santer, B. D.
AU  - Sherwood, S. C.
AU  - Simpson, I. R.
AU  - Stouffer, R. J.
AU  - Williamson, M. S.
PY  - 2019
TI  - Taking climate model evaluation to the next level
JA  - Nat. Clim. Change
VL  - 9
IS  - 2
SP  - 102
EP  - 110
DO  - 10.1038/s41558-018-0355-y
ER  -

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