Publication Abstracts

Chrysafi et al. 2022

Chrysafi, A., V. Virkki, M. Jalava, V. Sandström, J. Piipponen, M. Porkka, J.S. Lade, K. La Mere, L. Wang-Erlandsson, L. Scherer, S.L. Andersen, E. Bennett, A.K. Brauman, S.G. Cooper, A. De Palma, P. Döll, S.A. Downing, C.T. DuBois, I. Fetzer, E.A. Fulton, D. Gerten, H. Jaafar, J. Jägermeyr, F. Jaramillo, M. Jung, H. Kahiluoto, L. Lassaletta, W.A. Mackay, D. Mason-D'Croz, M.M. Mekonnen, K.L. Nash, A.V. Pastor, N. Ramankutty, B. Ridoutt, S. Siebert, B.I. Simmons, A. Staal, Z. Sun, A. Tobian, A. Usubiaga-Liaño, R.J. Van der Ent, A. Van Soesbergen, P.H. Verburg, Y. Wada, S. Zipper, and M. Kummu, 2022: Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitationion. Nat. Sustain., 5, no. 10, 830-842, doi:10.1038/s41893-022-00940-6.

Several safe boundaries of critical Earth system processes have already been crossed due to human perturbations; not accounting for their interactions may further narrow the safe operating space for humanity. Using expert knowledge elicitation, we explored interactions among seven variables representing Earth system processes relevant to food production, identifying many interactions little explored in Earth system literature. We found that green water and land system change affect other Earth system processes strongly, while land, freshwater and ocean components of biosphere integrity are the most impacted by other Earth system processes, most notably blue water and biogeochemical flows. We also mapped a complex network of mechanisms mediating these interactions and created a future research prioritization scheme based on interaction strengths and existing knowledge gaps. Our study improves the understanding of Earth system interactions, with sustainability implications including improved Earth system modelling and more explicit biophysical limits for future food production.

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BibTeX Citation

@article{ch01410l,
  author={Chrysafi, A. and Virkki, V. and Jalava, M. and Sandström, V. and Piipponen, J. and Porkka, M. and Lade, J. S. and La Mere, K. and Wang-Erlandsson, L. and Scherer, L. and Andersen, S. L. and Bennett, E. and Brauman, A. K. and Cooper, S. G. and De Palma, A. and Döll, P. and Downing, S. A. and DuBois, C. T. and Fetzer, I. and Fulton, E. A. and Gerten, D. and Jaafar, H. and Jägermeyr, J. and Jaramillo, F. and Jung, M. and Kahiluoto, H. and Lassaletta, L. and Mackay, W. A. and Mason-D'Croz, D. and Mekonnen, M. M. and Nash, K. L. and Pastor, A. V. and Ramankutty, N. and Ridoutt, B. and Siebert, S. and Simmons, B. I. and Staal, A. and Sun, Z. and Tobian, A. and Usubiaga-Liaño, A. and Van der Ent, R. J. and Van Soesbergen, A. and Verburg, P. H. and Wada, Y. and Zipper, S. and Kummu, M.},
  title={Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitationion},
  year={2022},
  journal={Nat. Sustain.},
  volume={5},
  number={10},
  pages={830--842},
  doi={10.1038/s41893-022-00940-6},
}

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RIS Citation

TY  - JOUR
ID  - ch01410l
AU  - Chrysafi, A.
AU  - Virkki, V.
AU  - Jalava, M.
AU  - Sandström, V.
AU  - Piipponen, J.
AU  - Porkka, M.
AU  - Lade, J. S.
AU  - La Mere, K.
AU  - Wang-Erlandsson, L.
AU  - Scherer, L.
AU  - Andersen, S. L.
AU  - Bennett, E.
AU  - Brauman, A. K.
AU  - Cooper, S. G.
AU  - De Palma, A.
AU  - Döll, P.
AU  - Downing, S. A.
AU  - DuBois, C. T.
AU  - Fetzer, I.
AU  - Fulton, E. A.
AU  - Gerten, D.
AU  - Jaafar, H.
AU  - Jägermeyr, J.
AU  - Jaramillo, F.
AU  - Jung, M.
AU  - Kahiluoto, H.
AU  - Lassaletta, L.
AU  - Mackay, W. A.
AU  - Mason-D'Croz, D.
AU  - Mekonnen, M. M.
AU  - Nash, K. L.
AU  - Pastor, A. V.
AU  - Ramankutty, N.
AU  - Ridoutt, B.
AU  - Siebert, S.
AU  - Simmons, B. I.
AU  - Staal, A.
AU  - Sun, Z.
AU  - Tobian, A.
AU  - Usubiaga-Liaño, A.
AU  - Van der Ent, R. J.
AU  - Van Soesbergen, A.
AU  - Verburg, P. H.
AU  - Wada, Y.
AU  - Zipper, S.
AU  - Kummu, M.
PY  - 2022
TI  - Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitationion
JA  - Nat. Sustain.
VL  - 5
IS  - 10
SP  - 830
EP  - 842
DO  - 10.1038/s41893-022-00940-6
ER  -

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