Publication Abstracts

Cammarano et al. 2021, submitted

Cammarano, D., B. Liu, L. Liu, A.C. Ruane, R. Sylvester-Bradley, and Y. Zhu, 2021: Impacts of projected warming scenarios on potential winter wheat in the U.K. J. Agric. Sci., submitted.

The goal of this study is to analyse the impacts of a 1.5 and 2.0°C scenarios on UK winter wheat using a combination of Global Climate Models, crop models, planting dates and cultivars to evaluate the impact of increased air temperature on winter wheat phenology and potential yield. And, to quantifying the underlying uncertainties due to the multiple sources of variability introduced by climate scenarios, crop models, and agronomic management. The data used to calibrate and evaluate the crop models were obtained from a field experiment with two irrigation amounts and two wheat cultivars that have different phenology and growth habit. Fifty locations were selected across the wheat growing area of the UK to cover all the main growing regions, with most points located in the main growing areas. Results of this study showed that the UK potential wheat yield will not be substantially reduced by projected climate. Farmers will need to close such gap in the future because under current climatic conditions the gaps between potential and farmers' yield can be significant. Future environmental conditions might increase such gap. Adaptation and mitigation measures, along with climate-ready varieties bred for future conditions and with precision agriculture techniques can help to reduce this gap and ensure that the future actual UK wheat production will be close to the potential.

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BibTeX Citation

  author={Cammarano, D. and Liu, B. and Liu, L. and Ruane, A. C. and Sylvester-Bradley, R. and Zhu, Y.},
  title={Impacts of projected warming scenarios on potential winter wheat in the U.K.},
  journal={J. Agric. Sci.},
  note={Manuscript submitted for publication}

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RIS Citation

ID  - ca09720t
AU  - Cammarano, D.
AU  - Liu, B.
AU  - Liu, L.
AU  - Ruane, A. C.
AU  - Sylvester-Bradley, R.
AU  - Zhu, Y.
PY  - 2021
TI  - Impacts of projected warming scenarios on potential winter wheat in the U.K.
JA  - J. Agric. Sci.
ER  -

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