Publication Abstracts

Alley et al. 2003

Alley, R.B., J. Marotzke, W.D. Nordhaus, J.T. Overpeck, D.M. Peteet, R.A. Pielke, Jr., R.T. Pierrehumbert, P.B. Rhines, T.F. Stocker, L.D. Talley, and J.M. Wallace, 2003: Abrupt climate change. Science, 299, 2005-2010, doi:10.1126/science.1081056.

Large, abrupt, and widespread climate changes with major impacts have occurred repeatedly in the past, when the Earth system was forced across thresholds. Although abrupt climate changes can occur for many reasons, it is conceivable that human forcing of climate change is increasing the probability of large, abrupt events. Were such an event to recur, the economic and ecological impacts could be large and potentially serious. Unpredictability exhibited near climate thresholds in simple models shows that some uncertainty will always be associated with projections. In light of these uncertainties, policy-makers should consider expanding research into abrupt climate change, improving monitoring systems, and taking actions designed to enhance the adaptability and resilience of ecosystems and economies.

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BibTeX Citation

  author={Alley, R. B. and Marotzke, J. and Nordhaus, W. D. and Overpeck, J. T. and Peteet, D. M. and Pielke, Jr., R. A. and Pierrehumbert, R. T. and Rhines, P. B. and Stocker, T. F. and Talley, L. D. and Wallace, J. M.},
  title={Abrupt climate change},

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RIS Citation

ID  - al02200i
AU  - Alley, R. B.
AU  - Marotzke, J.
AU  - Nordhaus, W. D.
AU  - Overpeck, J. T.
AU  - Peteet, D. M.
AU  - Pielke, R. A., Jr.
AU  - Pierrehumbert, R. T.
AU  - Rhines, P. B.
AU  - Stocker, T. F.
AU  - Talley, L. D.
AU  - Wallace, J. M.
PY  - 2003
TI  - Abrupt climate change
JA  - Science
VL  - 299
SP  - 2005
EP  - 2010
DO  - 10.1126/science.1081056
ER  -

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