Author Bibliographies

Publications by Joshua Elliott

In Review

Folberth, C., J. Elliott, C. Müller, J. Balkovič, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, R.C. Izaurralde, C.D. Jones, N. Khabarov, W. Liu, A. Reddy, E. Schmid, R. Skalsky, H. Yang, A. Arneth, P. Ciais, D. Deryng, P.J. Lawrence, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, A.C. Ruane, and X. Wang, 2016: Uncertainties in global crop model frameworks: Effects of cultivar distributions, crop management and soil handling on crop yield estimates. Geosci. Model Dev., submitted.

Frieler, K., R. Betts, E. Burke, P. Ciais, S. Denvil, D. Deryng, K. Ebi, T. Eddy, K. Emanuel, J. Elliott, E. Galbraith, S.N. Gosling, K. Halladay, F. Hattermann, T. Hickler, J. Hinkel, V. Huber, C. Jones, V. Krysanova, S. Lange, H.K. Lotze, H. Lotze-Campen, M. Mengel, I. Mouratiadou, H. Müller Schmied, S. Ostberg, F. Piontek, A. Popp, C.P.O. Reyer, J. Schewe, M. Stevanovic, T. Suzuki, K. Thonicke, H. Tian, D.P. Tittensor, R. Vautard, M. van Vliet, L. Warszawski, and F. Zhao, 2016: Assessing the impacts of 1.5°C global warming — Simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b). Geosci. Model Dev., submitted, doi:10.5194/gmd-2016-229.

Lopez, J.R., J.M. Winter, J. Elliott, A.C. Ruane, C.H. Porter, and G. Hoogenboom, 2016: Integrating growth stage deficit irrigation into a process based crop model. Agric. Forest Meteorol., submitted.

Müller, C., J. Elliott, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, A. Arneth, J. Balkovič, P. Ciais, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, M. Glotter, S. Hoek, T. Iizumi, R.C. Izaurralde, C. Jones, N. Khabarov, P. Lawrence, W. Liu, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, D. Ray, A. Reddy, C. Rosenzweig, A.C. Ruane, G. Sakurai, E. Schmid, R. Skalsky, C.X. Song, X. Wang, A. de Wit, and H. Yang, 2016: Global Gridded Crop Model evaluation: Benchmarking, skills, deficiencies and implications. Geosci. Model Dev., submitted, doi:10.5194/gmd-2016-207.

In Press or Accepted

Porwollik, V., C. Müller, J. Elliott, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, T. Iizumi, D.K. Ray, A.C. Ruane, A. Arneth, J. Balkovič, P. Ciais, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, R.C. Izaurralde, C.D. Jones, N. Khabarov, P.J. Lawrence, W. Liu, T.A.M. Pugh, A. Reddy, G. Sakurai, E. Schmid, X. Wang, A. de Wit, and X. Wu, 2016: Spatial and temporal uncertainty of crop yield aggregations. Eur. J. Agron., in press, doi:10.1016/j.eja.2016.08.006.

2016

Deryng, D., J. Elliott, A.C. Ruane, C. Folberth, C. Müller, T.A.M. Pugh, E. Schmid, K.J. Boote, D. Conway, D. Gerten, J.W. Jones, N. Khabarov, S. Olin, S. Schaphoff, H. Yang, and C. Rosenzweig, 2016: Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 emissions on crop water productivity. Nature Clim. Change, 6, no. 8, 786-790, doi:10.1038/nclimate2995.

Glotter, M.J., A.C. Ruane, E.J. Moyer, and J.W. Elliott, 2016: Evaluating the reliability of reanalysis as a substitute for observational data in large-scale agricultural assessments. J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol., 55, no. 3, 579-594, doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0120.1.

Liu, B., S. Asseng, C. Müller, F. Ewert, J. Elliott, D.B. Lobell, P. Martre, A.C. Ruane, D. Wallach, J.W. Jones, C. Rosenzweig, P.K. Aggarwal, P.D. Alderman, J. Anothai, B. Basso, C. Biernath, D. Cammarano, A. Challinor, D. Deryng, G. De Sanctis, J. Doltra, E. Fereres, C. Folberth, M. Garcia-Vila, S. Gayler, G. Hoogenboom, L.A. Hunt, R.C. Izaurralde, M. Jabloun, C.D. Jones, K.C. Kersebaum, B.A. Kimball, A.-K. Koehler, S.N. Kumar, C. Nendel, G. O'Leary, J.E. Olesen, M.J. Ottman, T. Palosuo, P.V.V. Prasad, E. Priesack, T.A.M. Pugh, M. Reynolds, E.E. Rezaei, R.P. Rötter, E. Schmid, M.A. Semenov, I. Shcherbak, E. Stehfest, C.O. Stöckle, P. Stratonovitch, T. Streck, I. Supit, F. Tao, P. Thorburn, K. Waha, G.W. Wall, E. Wang, J.W. White, J. Wolf, Z. Zhao, and Y. Zhu, 2016: Similar negative impacts of temperature on global wheat yield estimated by three independent methods. Nature Clim. Change, 6, no. 12, 1130-1136, doi:10.1038/nclimate3115.

Pugh, T.A.M., C. Müller, J. Elliott, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, S. Olin, E. Schmid, and A. Arneth, 2016: Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change. Nature Commun., 7, 12608, doi:10.1038/ncomms12608.

Rosenzweig, C., J. Antle, and J. Elliott, 2016: Assessing impacts of climate change on food security worldwide. Eos, 97, no. 8, 11, doi:10.1029/2016EO047387.

Van Bussel, L.G.J., F. Ewert, G. Zhao, H. Hoffmann, A. Enders, D. Wallach, S. Asseng, G.A. Baigorria, B. Basso, C. Biernath, D. Cammarano, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, J. Constantin, J. Elliott, M. Glotter, F. Heinlein, K.-C. Kersebaum, C. Klein, C. Nendel, E. Priesack, H. Raynal, C.C. Romero, R.P. Rötter, X. Specka, and F. Tao, 2016: Spatial sampling of weather data for regional crop yield simulations. Agric. Forest Meteorol., 220, 101-115, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.01.014.

2015

Elliott, J., and C Müller, 2015: The AgMIP GRIDded Crop Modeling Initiative (AgGRID) and the Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison (GGCMI). In Handbook of Climate Change and Agroecosystems: The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Integrated Crop and Economic Assessments, Part 1. C. Rosenzweig, and D. Hillel, Eds., ICP Series on Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation, and Mitigation Vol. 3. Imperial College Press, 175-190, doi:10.1142/9781783265640_0007.

Elliott, J., C. Müller, D. Deryng, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, K.J. Boote, M. Büchner, I. Foster, M. Glotter, J. Heinke, T. Iizumi, R.C. Izaurralde, N.D. Mueller, D.K. Ray, C. Rosenzweig, A.C. Ruane, and J. Sheffield, 2015: The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison: Data and modeling protocols for Phase 1 (v1.0). Geosci. Model Dev., 8, 261-277, doi:10.5194/gmd-8-261-2015.

Frieler, K., A. Levermann, J. Elliott, J. Heinke, A. Arneth, M.F.P. Bierkens, P. Ciais, D.B. Clark, D. Deryng, P. Döll, P. Falloon, B. Fekete, C. Folberth, A.D. Friend, C. Gellhorn, S.N. Gosling, I. Haddeland, N. Khabarov, M. Lomas, Y. Masaki, K. Nishina, K. Neumann, T. Oki, R. Pavlick, A.C. Ruane, E. Schmid, C. Schmitz, T. Stacke, E. Stehfest, Q. Tang, D. Wisser, V. Huber, F. Piontek, L. Warszawski, J. Schewe, H. Lotze-Campen, and H.J. Schellnhuber, 2015: A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: Land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties. Earth Syst. Dyn., 6, 447-460, doi:10.5194/esd-6-447-2015.

Müller, C., J. Elliott, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, T.M. Pugh, and E. Schmid, 2015: Implications of climate mitigation for future agricultural production. Environ. Res. Lett., 10, no. 12, 125004, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125004.

2014

Elliott, J., D. Deryng, C. Müller, K. Frieler, M. Konzmann, D. Gerten, M. Glotter, M. Flörke, Y. Wada, N. Best, S. Eisner, B.M. Fekete, C. Folberth, I. Foster, S.N. Gosling, I. Haddeland, N. Khabarov, F. Ludwig, Y. Masaki, S. Olin, C. Rosenzweig, A.C. Ruane, Y. Satoh, E. Schmid, T. Stacke, Q. Tang, and D. Wisser, 2014: Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 111, no. 9, 3239-3244, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222474110.

Elliott, J., D. Kelly, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, M. Glotter, K. Jhunjhnuwala, N. Best, M. Wilde, and I. Foster, 2014: The parallel system for integrating impact models and sectors (pSIMS). Environ. Model. Softw., 62, 509-516, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.04.008.

Nelson, G.C., H. Valin, R.D. Sands, P. Havlík, H. Ahammad, D. Deryng, J. Elliott, S. Fujimori, T. Hasegawa, E. Heyhoe, P. Kyle, M. Von Lampe, H. Lotze-Campen, D. Mason d’Croz, H. van Meijl, D. van der Mensbrugghe, C. Müller, A. Popp, R. Robertson, S. Robinson, E. Schmid, C. Schmitz, A. Tabeau, and D. Willenbockelo, 2014: Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 111, no. 9, 3274-3279, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222465110.

Piontek, F., C. Müller, T.A.M. Pugh, D.B. Clark, D. Deryng, J. Elliott, F.de J. Colón González, M. Flörke, C. Folberth, W. Franssen, K. Frieler, A.D. Friend, S.N. Gosling, D. Hemming, N. Khabarov, H. Kim, M.R. Lomas, Y. Masaki, M. Mengel, A. Morse, K. Neumann, N. Nishin, S. Ostberg, R. Pavlick, A.C. Ruane, J. Schewe, E. Schmid, T. Stack, Q. Tang, Z.D. Tessler, A.M. Tompkins, L. Warszawski, D. Wisser, and H.J. Schellnhuber, 2014: Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 111, no. 9, 3233-3238, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222471110.

Rosenzweig, C., J. Elliott, D. Deryng, A.C. Ruane, C. Müller, A. Arneth, K.J. Boote, C. Folberth, M. Glotter, N. Khabarov, K. Neumann, F. Piontek, T.A.M. Pugh, E. Schmid, E. Stehfest, H. Yang, and J.W. Jones, 2014: Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 111, no. 9, 3268-3273, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222463110.

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