Alumni Bibliographies

Publications by Joshua Elliott

This citation list includes papers published while the author was on staff at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies. It may also include some publications before or after that period if another GISS researcher was a co-author.

In Press / Accepted

Guarin, J.R., J. Jägermeyr, E.A. Ainsworth, F.A.A. Oliveira, S. Asseng, K. Boote, J. Elliott, L. Emberson, I. Foster, G. Hoogenboom, D. Kelly, A.C. Ruane, and K. Sharps, 2024: Modeling the effects of tropospheric ozone on the growth and yield of global staple crops with DSSAT v4.8.0. Geosci. Model Dev., accepted.

2024

Müller, C., J. Jägermeyr, J.A. Franke, A.C. Ruane, J. Balkovic, P. Ciais, M. Dury, P. Falloon, C. Folberth, T. Hank, M. Hoffmannn, C. Izaurralde, I. Jacquemin, N. Khabarov, W. Liu, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, X. Wang, K. Williams, F. Zabel, and J.W. Elliott, 2024: Substantial differences in crop yield sensitivities between models call for functionality-based model evaluation. Earth's Future, 12, no. 3, e2023EF003773, doi:10.1029/2023EF003773.

2023

Shields, C., P. Talalay, X. Fan, A.P. Lines, J. Elliott, H. Rajaram, K. Mankoff, M. Jensen, M. Backes, Y. Liu, X. Wei, N.B. Karlsson, H. Spanggård, and A.Ø. Pedersen, 2023: Design and performance of the Hotrod melt-tip ice-drilling system. Geosci. Instrum. Method. Data Syst., 12, no. 2, 121-140, doi:10.5194/gi-12-121-2023.

2022

Franke, J.A., C. Müller, S. Minoli, J. Elliott, C. Folberth, C. Gardner, T. Hank, R.C. Izaurralde, J. Jägermeyr, C. Jones, W. Liu, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, A.C. Ruane, H. Stephens, F. Zabel, and E. Moyer, 2022: Agricultural breadbaskets shift poleward given adaptive farmer behavior under climate change. Glob. Change Biol., 28, no. 1, 167-181, doi:10.1111/gcb.15868.

Lopez, J.R., J.M. Winter, J. Elliott, A.C. Ruane, C. Porter, and G. Hoogenboom, 2022: Sustainable use of groundwater may dramatically reduce irrigated production of maize, soybean, and wheat. Earth's Future, 10, no. 1, e2021EF002018, doi:10.1029/2021EF002018.

2021

Jägermeyr, J., C. Müller, A.C. Ruane, J. Elliott, J. Balkovic, O. Castillo, B. Faye, I. Foster, C. Folberth, J.A. Franke, K. Fuchs, J. Guarin, J. Heinke, G. Hoogenboom, T. Iizumi, A.K. Kain, D. Kelly, N. Khabarov, S. Lange, T.-S. Lin, W. Liu, O. Mialyk, S. Minoli, E.J. Moyer, M. Okada, M. Phillips, C. Porter, S. Rabin, C. Scheer, J.M. Schneider, J.F. Schyns, R. Skalsky, A. Smerald, T. Stella, H. Stephens, H. Webber, F. Zabel, and C. Rosenzweig, 2021: Climate impacts on global agriculture emerge earlier in new generation of climate and crop models. Nat. Food, 2, no. 11, 873-885, doi:10.1038/s43016-021-00400-y.

Müller, C., J. Franke, J. Jägermeyr, A.C. Ruane, J. Elliott, E. Moyer, J. Heinke, P. Falloon, C. Folberth, L. Francois, T. Hank, R. Izaurralde, I. Jacquemin, W. Liu, S. Olin, T. Pugh, K. Williams, and F. Zabel, 2021: Exploring uncertainties in global crop yield projections in a large ensemble of crop models and CMIP5 and CMIP6 climate scenarios. Environ. Res. Lett., 16, no. 3, 034040, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abd8fc.

Ruane, A.C., M. Phillips, C. Müller, J. Elliott, J. Jägermeyr, A. Arneth, J. Balkovic, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, T. Iizumi, R.C. Izaurralde, N. Khabarov, P. Lawrence, W. Liu, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, C. Rosenzweig, G. Sakurai, E. Schmid, B. Sultan, X. Wang, A. de Wit, and H. Yang, 2021: Strong regional influence of climatic forcing datasets on global crop model ensembles. Agric. Forest Meteorol., 300, 108313, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108313.

Zabel, F., C. Müller, J. Elliott, S. Minoli, J. Jägermeyr, J.M. Schneider, J.A. Franke, E. Moyer, C. Folberth, M. Dury, L. Francois, W. Liu, T.A. Pugh, S. Olin, S.S. Rabin, W. Mauser, T. Hank, and A.C. Ruane, 2021: Large potential for crop production adaptation depends on available future varieties. Glob. Change Biol., 27, no. 16, 3870-3882, doi:10.1111/gcb.15649.

2020

Franke, J., C. Müller, J. Elliott, A.C. Ruane, J. Jägermeyr, A. Snyder, M. Dury, P. Falloon, C. Folberth, L. François, T. Hank, R.C. Izaurralde, I. Jacquemin, C. Jones, M. Li, W. Liu, S. Olin, M. Phillips, T.A.M. Pugh, A. Reddy, K. Williams, Z. Wang, F. Zabel, and E. Moyer, 2020: The GGCMI phase II emulators: Global gridded crop model responses to changes in CO2, temperature, water, and nitrogen (version 1.0). Geosci. Model Dev., 13, no. 9, 3995-4018, doi:10.5194/gmd-13-3995-2020.

Franke, J., C. Müller, J. Elliott, A. Ruane, J. Jägermeyr, J. Balkovic, P. Ciais, M. Dury, P. Falloon, C. Folberth, L. François, T. Hank, M. Hoffmann, C. Izaurralde, I. Jacquemin, C. Jones, N. Khabarov, M. Koch, M. Li, W. Liu, S. Olin, M. Phillips, T.A.M. Pugh, A. Reddy, X. Wang, K. Williams, F. Zabel, and E. Moyer, 2020: The GGCMI Phase II experiment: Global gridded crop model simulations under uniform changes in CO2, temperature, water, and nitrogen levels (protocol version 1.0). Geosci. Model Dev., 13, no. 5, 2315-2336, doi:10.5194/gmd-13-2315-2020.

Jägermeyr, J., A. Robock, J. Elliott, C. Müller, L. Xia, N. Khabarov, C. Folberth, E. Schmid, W. Liu, F. Zabel, S.S. Rabin, M.J. Puma, A.C. Heslin, J. Franke, I. Foster, S. Asseng, C.G. Bardeen, O.B. Toon, and C. Rosenzweig, 2020: A regional nuclear conflict would compromise global food security. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 117, no. 13, 7071-7081, doi:10.1073/pnas.1919049117.

Mankoff, K.D., D. van As, A. Lines, T. Bording, J. Elliott, R. Kraghede, H. Cantalloube, H. Oriot, P. Dubois-Fernandez, O. Ruault du Plessis, A.V. Christiansen, E. Auken, K. Hansen, W. Colgan, and N.B. Karlsson, 2020: Search and recovery of aircraft parts in ice-sheet crevasse fields using airborne and in situ geophysical sensors. J. Glaciol., 66, no. 257, 496-508, doi:10.1017/jog.2020.26.

Zhai, R., F. Tao, U. Lall, B. Fu, J. Elliott, and J. Jägermeyr, 2020: Larger drought and flood hazards and adverse impacts on population and economic productivity under 2.0 than 1.5°C warming. Earth's Future, 8, no. 7, e2019EF001398, doi:10.1029/2019EF001398.

2019

Folberth, C., J. Elliott, C. Müller, J. Balkovič, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, R.C. Izaurralde, C.D. Jones, N. Khabarov, W. Liu, A. Reddy, E. Schmid, R. Skalský, H. Yang, A. Arneth, P. Ciais, D. Deryng, P.J. Lawrence, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, A.C. Ruane, and X. Wang, 2019: Parameterization-induced uncertainties and impacts of crop management harmonization in a global gridded crop model ensemble. PLOS ONE, 14, no. 9, e0221862, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0221862.

Minoli, S., C. Müller, J. Elliott, A.C. Ruane, J. Jägermeyr, F. Zabel, M. Dury, C. Folberth, L. Francois, T. Hank, I. Jacquemin, W. Liu, S. Olin, and T.A.M. Pugh, 2019: Global response patterns of major rainfed crops to adaptation by maintaining current growing periods and irrigation. Earth's Future, 7, no. 12, 1464-1480, doi:10.1029/2018EF001130.

Müller, C., J. Elliott, D. Kelly, A. Arneth, B. Juraj, P. Ciais, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, S. Hoek, R. Izaurralde, C. Jones, N. Khabarov, P. Lawrence, W. Liu, S. Olin, T. Pugh, A. Reddy, C. Rosenzweig, A. Ruane, G. Sakurai, E. Schmid, R. Skalsky, X. Wang, A. de Wit, and H. Yang, 2019: The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison phase 1 simulation data set. Sci. Data, 6, 50, doi:10.1038/s41597-019-0023-8.

2018

Elliott, J., M. Glotter, A.C. Ruane, K.J. Boote, J.L. Hatfield, J.W. Jones, C. Rosenzweig, L.A. Smith, and I. Foster, 2018: Characterizing agricultural impacts of recent large-scale US droughts and changing technology and management. Agric. Syst., 159, 275-281, doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2017.07.012.

Müller, C., J. Elliott, T.A.M. Pugh, A.C. Ruane, P. Ciais, J. Balkovic, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, R.C. Izaurraide, C.D. Jones, N. Khabarov, P. Lawrence, W. Liu, A.D. Reddy, E. Schmid, and X. Wang, 2018: Global patterns of crop yield stability under additional nutrient and water inputs. PLOS ONE, 13, no. 6, e0198748, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0198748.

Rosenzweig, C., A. Ruane, J. Antle, J. Elliott, M. Ashfaq, A. Chatta, F. Ewert, C. Folberth, I. Hathie, P. Havlík, G. Hoogenboom, H. Lotze-Campen, D. Mason-D'Croz, D. MacCarthy, E. Mencos Contreras, C. Müller, I. Perez-Dominguez, M. Phillips, C. Porter, R.M. Raymundo, R. Sands, C.-F. Schleussner, R. Valdivia, H. Valin, and K. Wiebe, 2018: Coordinating AgMIP data and models across global and regional scales for 1.5°C and 2.0°C assessments. Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. A, 376, no. 2119, 20160455, doi:10.1098/rsta.2016.0455.

Ruane, A.C., J. Antle, J. Elliott, C. Folberth, G. Hoogenboom, D. Mason-D'Croz, C. Müller, C.H. Porter, M. Phillips, R. Raymundo, R. Sands, R. Valdivia, J. White, K. Wiebe, and C. Rosenzweig, 2018: Biophysical and economic implications for agriculture of +1.5° and +2.0°C global warming using AgMIP Coordinated Global and Regional Assessments. Clim. Res., 76, no. 1, 17-39, doi:10.3354/cr01520.

Schleussner, C.-F., D. Deryng, C. Müller, J. Elliott, F. Saeed, C. Folberth, W. Liu, X. Wang, T. Pugh, W. Thiery, S.I. Seneviratne, and J. Rogelj, 2018: Crop productivity changes in 1.5°C and 2°C worlds under climate sensitivity uncertainty. Environ. Res. Lett., 13, no. 6, 064007, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aab63b.

2017

Deryng, D., J. Elliott, C. Folberth, C. Müller, T.A.M. Pugh, K.J. Boote, D. Conway, A.C. Ruane, D. Gerten, J.W. Jones, N. Khabarov, Olin S., S. Schaphoff, E. Schmid, H. Yang, and C. Rosenzweig, 2017: How can CO2 help agriculture in the face of climate change? Science Journal for Kids, 2017, Aug. 15.

Frieler, K., S. Lange, F. Piontek, C.P.O. Reyer, J. Schewe, L. Warszawski, F. Zhao, L. Chini, S. Denvil, K. Emanuel, T. Geiger, K. Halladay, G. Hurtt, M. Mengel, D. Murakami, S. Ostberg, A. Popp, R. Riva, M. Stevanovic, T. Suzuki, J. Volkholz, E. Burke, P. Ciais, K. Ebi, T.D. Eddy, J. Elliott, E. Galbraith, S.N. Gosling, F. Hattermann, T. Hickler, J. Hinkel, C. Hof, V. Huber, J. Jägermeyr, V. Krysanova, R. Marcé, H. Müller Schmied, I. Mouratiadou, D. Pierson, D.P. Tittensor, R. Vautard, M. van Vliet, M.F. Biber, R.A. Betts, B.L. Bodirsky, D. Deryng, S. Frolking, C.D. Jones, H.K. Lotze, H. Lotze-Campen, R. Sahajpal, K. Thonicke, H. Tian, and Y. Yamagata, 2017: Assessing the impacts of 1.5°C global warming — Simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b). Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 4321-4345, doi:10.5194/gmd-10-4321-2017.

Frieler, K., B. Schauberger, A. Arneth, J. Balkovic, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, D. Deryng, J. Elliott, C. Folberth, N. Khabarov, C. Müller, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, S. Schaphoff, J. Schewe, E. Schmid, L. Warszawski, and A. Levermann, 2017: Understanding the weather signal in national crop-yield variability. Earth's Future, 5, no. 6, 605-616, doi:10.1002/2016EF000525.

Lopez, J.R., J.M. Winter, J. Elliott, A.C. Ruane, C.H. Porter, and G. Hoogenboom, 2017: Integrating growth stage deficit irrigation into a process based crop model. Agric. Forest Meteorol., 243, 84-92, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.05.001.

Müller, C., J. Elliott, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, A. Arneth, J. Balkovič, P. Ciais, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, M. Glotter, S. Hoek, T. Iizumi, R.C. Izaurralde, C. Jones, N. Khabarov, P. Lawrence, W. Liu, S. Olin, T.A.M. Pugh, D. Ray, A. Reddy, C. Rosenzweig, A.C. Ruane, G. Sakurai, E. Schmid, R. Skalsky, C.X. Song, X. Wang, A. de Wit, and H. Yang, 2017: Global gridded crop model evaluation: Benchmarking, skills, deficiencies and implications. Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 1403-1422, doi:10.5194/gmd-10-1403-2017.

Porwollik, V., C. Müller, J. Elliott, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, T. Iizumi, D.K. Ray, A.C. Ruane, A. Arneth, J. Balkovič, P. Ciais, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, R.C. Izaurralde, C.D. Jones, N. Khabarov, P.J. Lawrence, W. Liu, T.A.M. Pugh, A. Reddy, G. Sakurai, E. Schmid, X. Wang, A. de Wit, and X. Wu, 2017: Spatial and temporal uncertainty of crop yield aggregations. Eur. J. Agron., 88, 10-21, doi:10.1016/j.eja.2016.08.006.

Ruane, A.C., C. Rosenzweig, S. Asseng, K.J. Boote, J. Elliott, F. Ewert, J.W. Jones, P. Martre, S. McDermid, C. Müller, A. Snyder, and P.J. Thorburn, 2017: An AgMIP framework for improved agricultural representation in IAMs. Environ. Res. Lett., 12, no. 12, 125003, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa8da6.

Zhao, C., B. Liu, S. Piao, X. Wang, D.B. Lobell, Y. Huang, M. Huang, Y. Yao, S. Bassu, P. Ciais, J.-L. Durand, J. Elliott, F. Ewert, I.A. Janssens, T. Li, E. Lin, Q. Liu, P. Martre, C. Müller, S. Peng, J. Peñuelas, A.C. Ruane, D. Wallach, T. Wang, D. Wu, Z. Liu, Y. Zhu, Z. Zhu, and S. Asseng, 2017: Temperature increase reduces global yields of major crops in four independent estimates. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 114, no. 35, 9326-9331, doi:10.1073/pnas.1701762114.

2016

Deryng, D., J. Elliott, A.C. Ruane, C. Folberth, C. Müller, T.A.M. Pugh, E. Schmid, K.J. Boote, D. Conway, D. Gerten, J.W. Jones, N. Khabarov, S. Olin, S. Schaphoff, H. Yang, and C. Rosenzweig, 2016: Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity. Nat. Clim. Change, 6, no. 8, 786-790, doi:10.1038/nclimate2995.

Glotter, M., and J. Elliott, 2016: Simulating US agriculture in a modern Dust Bowl drought. Nat. Plants, 3, 16193, doi:10.1038/nplants.2016.193.

Glotter, M.J., A.C. Ruane, E.J. Moyer, and J.W. Elliott, 2016: Evaluating the reliability of reanalysis as a substitute for observational data in large-scale agricultural assessments. J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol., 55, no. 3, 579-594, doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0120.1.

Liu, B., S. Asseng, C. Müller, F. Ewert, J. Elliott, D.B. Lobell, P. Martre, A.C. Ruane, D. Wallach, J.W. Jones, C. Rosenzweig, P.K. Aggarwal, P.D. Alderman, J. Anothai, B. Basso, C. Biernath, D. Cammarano, A. Challinor, D. Deryng, G. De Sanctis, J. Doltra, E. Fereres, C. Folberth, M. Garcia-Vila, S. Gayler, G. Hoogenboom, L.A. Hunt, R.C. Izaurralde, M. Jabloun, C.D. Jones, K.C. Kersebaum, B.A. Kimball, A.-K. Koehler, S.N. Kumar, C. Nendel, G. O'Leary, J.E. Olesen, M.J. Ottman, T. Palosuo, P.V.V. Prasad, E. Priesack, T.A.M. Pugh, M. Reynolds, E.E. Rezaei, R.P. Rötter, E. Schmid, M.A. Semenov, I. Shcherbak, E. Stehfest, C.O. Stöckle, P. Stratonovitch, T. Streck, I. Supit, F. Tao, P. Thorburn, K. Waha, G.W. Wall, E. Wang, J.W. White, J. Wolf, Z. Zhao, and Y. Zhu, 2016: Similar negative impacts of temperature on global wheat yield estimated by three independent methods. Nat. Clim. Change, 6, no. 12, 1130-1136, doi:10.1038/nclimate3115.

Pugh, T.A.M., C. Müller, J. Elliott, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, S. Olin, E. Schmid, and A. Arneth, 2016: Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change. Nat. Commun., 7, 12608, doi:10.1038/ncomms12608.

Rosenzweig, C., J. Antle, and J. Elliott, 2016: Assessing impacts of climate change on food security worldwide. Eos, 97, no. 8, 11, doi:10.1029/2016EO047387.

Van Bussel, L.G.J., F. Ewert, G. Zhao, H. Hoffmann, A. Enders, D. Wallach, S. Asseng, G.A. Baigorria, B. Basso, C. Biernath, D. Cammarano, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, J. Constantin, J. Elliott, M. Glotter, F. Heinlein, K.-C. Kersebaum, C. Klein, C. Nendel, E. Priesack, H. Raynal, C.C. Romero, R.P. Rötter, X. Specka, and F. Tao, 2016: Spatial sampling of weather data for regional crop yield simulations. Agric. Forest Meteorol., 220, 101-115, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.01.014.

2015

Elliott, J., and C Müller, 2015: The AgMIP GRIDded Crop Modeling Initiative (AgGRID) and the Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison (GGCMI). In Handbook of Climate Change and Agroecosystems: The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Integrated Crop and Economic Assessments, Part 1. C. Rosenzweig and D. Hillel, Eds., ICP Series on Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation, and Mitigation, vol. 3, Imperial College Press, pp. 175-190, doi:10.1142/9781783265640_0007.

Elliott, J., C. Müller, D. Deryng, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, K.J. Boote, M. Büchner, I. Foster, M. Glotter, J. Heinke, T. Iizumi, R.C. Izaurralde, N.D. Mueller, D.K. Ray, C. Rosenzweig, A.C. Ruane, and J. Sheffield, 2015: The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison: Data and modeling protocols for Phase 1 (v1.0). Geosci. Model Dev., 8, 261-277, doi:10.5194/gmd-8-261-2015.

Frieler, K., A. Levermann, J. Elliott, J. Heinke, A. Arneth, M.F.P. Bierkens, P. Ciais, D.B. Clark, D. Deryng, P. Döll, P. Falloon, B. Fekete, C. Folberth, A.D. Friend, C. Gellhorn, S.N. Gosling, I. Haddeland, N. Khabarov, M. Lomas, Y. Masaki, K. Nishina, K. Neumann, T. Oki, R. Pavlick, A.C. Ruane, E. Schmid, C. Schmitz, T. Stacke, E. Stehfest, Q. Tang, D. Wisser, V. Huber, F. Piontek, L. Warszawski, J. Schewe, H. Lotze-Campen, and H.J. Schellnhuber, 2015: A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: Land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties. Earth Syst. Dyn., 6, 447-460, doi:10.5194/esd-6-447-2015.

Müller, C., J. Elliott, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, T.M. Pugh, and E. Schmid, 2015: Implications of climate mitigation for future agricultural production. Environ. Res. Lett., 10, no. 12, 125004, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125004.

2014

Elliott, J., D. Deryng, C. Müller, K. Frieler, M. Konzmann, D. Gerten, M. Glotter, M. Flörke, Y. Wada, N. Best, S. Eisner, B.M. Fekete, C. Folberth, I. Foster, S.N. Gosling, I. Haddeland, N. Khabarov, F. Ludwig, Y. Masaki, S. Olin, C. Rosenzweig, A.C. Ruane, Y. Satoh, E. Schmid, T. Stacke, Q. Tang, and D. Wisser, 2014: Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 111, no. 9, 3239-3244, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222474110.

Elliott, J., D. Kelly, J. Chryssanthacopoulos, M. Glotter, K. Jhunjhnuwala, N. Best, M. Wilde, and I. Foster, 2014: The parallel system for integrating impact models and sectors (pSIMS). Environ. Model. Softw., 62, 509-516, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.04.008.

Nelson, G.C., H. Valin, R.D. Sands, P. Havlík, H. Ahammad, D. Deryng, J. Elliott, S. Fujimori, T. Hasegawa, E. Heyhoe, P. Kyle, M. Von Lampe, H. Lotze-Campen, D. Mason d'Croz, H. van Meijl, D. van der Mensbrugghe, C. Müller, A. Popp, R. Robertson, S. Robinson, E. Schmid, C. Schmitz, A. Tabeau, and D. Willenbockelo, 2014: Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 111, no. 9, 3274-3279, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222465110.

Piontek, F., C. Müller, T.A.M. Pugh, D.B. Clark, D. Deryng, J. Elliott, F.J. Colón González, M. Flörke, C. Folberth, W. Franssen, K. Frieler, A.D. Friend, S.N. Gosling, D. Hemming, N. Khabarov, H. Kim, M.R. Lomas, Y. Masaki, M. Mengel, A. Morse, K. Neumann, N. Nishin, S. Ostberg, R. Pavlick, A.C. Ruane, J. Schewe, E. Schmid, T. Stack, Q. Tang, Z.D. Tessler, A.M. Tompkins, L. Warszawski, D. Wisser, and H.J. Schellnhuber, 2014: Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 111, no. 9, 3233-3238, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222471110.

Rosenzweig, C., J. Elliott, D. Deryng, A.C. Ruane, C. Müller, A. Arneth, K.J. Boote, C. Folberth, M. Glotter, N. Khabarov, K. Neumann, F. Piontek, T.A.M. Pugh, E. Schmid, E. Stehfest, H. Yang, and J.W. Jones, 2014: Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 111, no. 9, 3268-3273, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222463110.

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