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Stothers, R.B., 2004: Earthquake prediction in antiquity. Acient Hist. Bull., 18, 101-108.
How often did the ancient Greeks and Romans recognize possible precursors to earthquakes? Was it always after the fact, as in the case of Helice? Did they ever make explicit predictions? If so, did they ever have any success? And was their apparent success only a chance coincidence, or were they on something of scientific value? These questions seem not to have been systematically asked before, although modern studies of historical earthquakes have occasionally used classical anecdotes as examples of the types of epiphenomena that are seen in modern times. The present paper reviews the available evidence on the subject of ancient earthquake prediction in an effort to answer these questions.
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