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ABSTRACT

Fischer et al. 1994

Fischer, G., K. Frohberg, M.L. Parry, and C. Rosenzweig, 1994: Climate change and world food supply, demand and trade: Who benefits, who loses? Global Environ. Change, 4, 7-23.

This paper summarizes the findings of a major interdisciplinary research effort by scientists in 25 countries. The study examined the potential biophysical responses of major food crops to changing atmospheric composition and climate, and projected potential socio-economic consequences. In a first step crop models were used to estimate how changing climatic conditions might alter yields of major crops at a number of sites representing both major production areas and vulnerable regions at low, mid and high latitudes. Then a dynamic recursive national-level model of the world food system was used to assess socio-economic impacts for the period 1990 up to year 2060.

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